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	<title>Guy McPherson&#039;s blog &#187; When all is said and done &#8211; Guy McPherson&#039;s blog</title>
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	<description>Humans have tinkered with the natural world since we appeared on the evolutionary stage. Our days certainly seem numbered: As the home team, Nature bats last.</description>
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		<title>When all is said and done</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/05/when-all-is-said-and-done/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/05/when-all-is-said-and-done/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2012 13:18:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1549</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fascism has come to the industrialized world, and the evidence is particularly clear in the United States. As I wrote in a book published in 2004 regarding the executive branch of the U.S. government: [The administration] is characterized by powerful and continuing expressions of nationalism, identification of enemies as a unifying cause, obsession with militaristic [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fascism has come to the industrialized world, and the evidence is particularly clear in the United States. As I wrote in a <a href="http://www.whitmorepublishing.com/selected-title.asp?id=F1BD6D4B-C579-4AE0-965D-3BFAB2C7C38B">book published in 2004</a> regarding the executive branch of the U.S. government:</p>
<blockquote><p>[The administration] is characterized by powerful and continuing expressions of nationalism, identification of enemies as a unifying cause, obsession with militaristic national security and military supremacy, interlinking of religion and the ruling elite, obsession with crime and punishment, disdain for the importance of human rights and intellectuals who support them, cronyism, corruption, sexism, protection of corporate power, suppression of labor, control over mass media, and fraudulent elections. These are the defining elements of fascism.</p></blockquote>
<p>The situation has progressed, and not in a suitable manner from the perspective of the typical self-proclaimed progressive. Along with fascism, we&#8217;re firmly ensconced in a totalitarian, <a href="http://www.salon.com/2012/05/07/the_american_character/singleton/?miaou">surveillance-obsessed</a> <a href="http://www.allgov.com/Top_Stories/ViewNews/Obama_Has_Authoritarian_Powers_Bush_Could_Only_Dream_Of_120426">police state</a>. We&#8217;ve been in this state for many years and the situation grows worse every year, but most people prefer to look away and then claim ignorance while politicians <a href="http://www.thiscantbehappening.net/node/1153">claim we&#8217;re not the people indicated by our actions</a>. As long as you&#8217;re not in jail (yet) or declared a terrorist (yet) and subsequently killed outright (yet), you&#8217;re unlikely to bring attention to yourself, regardless what you know and feel about the morality of the people <del datetime="2012-05-07T19:45:11+00:00">running</del> ruining the show.</p>
<p>But why? Is fear such a great motivator that we allow complete destruction of the living planet to give ourselves a few more years to enable and further the destruction? Is the grip of culture so strong we cannot break free in defense of planetary habitat for our children? Have we moved so far away from the notion of resistance that we can&#8217;t organize a potluck dinner without seeking permission from the Department of Homeland Security?</p>
<p>I know many parents who claim they can&#8217;t take action because they want a better world for their children. Their version of a &#8220;better world&#8221; is my version of a worse world, as they long for growth of the industrial economy at the expense of clean air, clean water, healthy food, the living planet, runaway greenhouse, and human-population overshoot. I&#8217;ve come to call this response &#8220;the parent trap.&#8221; Trapped by the culture of make believe, these parents cannot bring themselves to imagine a different world. A better world. A world without the boot of the police state on the necks of their children. A world with more carnivores every year, instead of fewer. A world with less pollution, less garbage,  and less lying &#8212; to ourselves and others &#8212; each and every year.</p>
<p>All evidence indicates we prefer Fukushima forever, if it means we can have electric toys. We prefer near-term extinction by climate chaos, if it means we can cool the house to 68 F in the summer. We prefer genocide, if it comes with a milkshake and an order of fries. Henry Ford was wrong when he pointed out, &#8220;It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.&#8221; On the other hand, General Omar Bradley&#8217;s sentiments from 1948 ring true: &#8220;The world has achieved brilliance without conscience. Ours is a world of nuclear giants and ethical infants. We know more about war than we know about peace, more about killing than we know about living. If we continue to develop our technology without wisdom or prudence, our servant may prove to be our executioner.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even though we&#8217;re willingly <a href="http://www.alternet.org/environment/154936/6_scary_extreme_energy_sources_being_tapped_to_fuel_the_post_peak_oil_economy?page=entire">tapping six scary extreme energy sources to fuel the post-peak oil industrial economy</a>, power outages have become exponential within the last decade, as indicated in the figure below. We clearly <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/the-ends-of-the-earth/">don&#8217;t care</a> about the environmental consequences of our greed, so we keep soldiering on, wishing for a miracle and ignoring the evidence for imperial decline, human-population overshoot, runaway climate change, and a profound extinction crisis. Will the final power outage come in time to save us from our unrepentant selves?</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/power-outages.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/power-outages-300x263.jpg" alt="" title="power outages" width="300" height="263" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-3237"/></a></p>
<p>Ultimately and sadly, I suspect it comes down to this: When all is said and done, a lot more is said than done. We simply can&#8217;t be bothered to contemplate a single issue of importance when the television calls or the shopping mall beckons. Political &#8220;activists&#8221; spend hours every day elaborating the many insignificant differences between the two dominant political parties in this country, but they cannot bring themselves to throw a wrench into the gears of industry. They continue to ignore the prescient words of Desmond Tutu long after the consequences of inaction are obvious: &#8220;If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor.&#8221;</p>
<p>The only reason I can imagine wanting to retain this horrific system for a few more years is to safely shut down the <a href="http://blog.imva.info/world-affairs/hanging-thread">nuclear reactors that are poised to kill us</a>. But increasing the number of these uber-expensive sources of electricity, as <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2010/02/obama-says-safe-nuclear-power-plants-are-a-necessary-investment/">President Obama desires</a>, means shoving more ammunition into the Gatling gun pointed at our heads. One bullet does the trick. In classic American style, we prefer more. Always more.</p>
<p>How much of this is too much? When have you had enough?</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/55fqjw2J1vI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>_______________</p>
<p>Please join me in supporting Mike Sosebee&#8217;s film. To learn more, click <a href="http://www.indiegogo.com/Somewhere-In-New-Mexico-Before-The-End-Of-Time">here</a>.</p>
<p>________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://www.countercurrents.org/mcpherson100512.htm">Counter Currents</a> and <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2012/05/when-all-is-said-and-done.html">Island Breath</a>.</p>
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		<slash:comments>61</slash:comments>
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		<title>Media alert and new video clips</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/04/media-alert-and-new-video-clips/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/04/media-alert-and-new-video-clips/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Apr 2012 14:10:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=3147</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ll be interviewed by Michael C. Ruppert for The Lifeboat Hour Sunday, 15 April at 9:00 p.m. Eastern (6:00 p.m. on the Left Coast). Tune in here. My recent trip to the northeastern United States included 13 presentations. At least one was recorded. I presented on the topic of three paths to near-term human extinction [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ll be interviewed by <a href="http://collapsenet.com/">Michael C. Ruppert</a> for <a href="http://prn.fm/shows/political-shows/lifeboat-hour/">The Lifeboat Hour</a> Sunday, 15 April at 9:00 p.m. Eastern (6:00 p.m. on the Left Coast). Tune in <a href="http://beta.wavepanel.net/player/testflash/7bdf27dcce810f1ec920f9e9e12ceaed63063a3b">here</a>.</p>
<p>My recent trip to the northeastern United States included 13 presentations. At least one was recorded. I presented on the topic of three paths to near-term human extinction to the New Roots Charter High School in Ithaca, New York on Tuesday, 3 April 2012. The incomplete video, in four parts, follows (big thanks to Wendy Bandurski-Miller for the venue and the video, and also big thanks to Vickey Kaiser for organizing the trip and hosting and to Karl Klein for hosting and loaning his vehicle to a stranger for nearly two weeks).</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/MeebCT08H-k" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/eIUSDXR5XvM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/eH2Sglgprqw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/bmtGlUt4i8Y" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>________________</p>
<p>There&#8217;s still time to support Mike Sosebee&#8217;s film. Click <a href="http://www.indiegogo.com/Somewhere-In-New-Mexico-Before-The-End-Of-Time">here</a>.<br />
________________</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll be presenting on Saturday, 2 June 2012 at the Bueno Vista Audubon Nature Center, 2202 South Coast Highway, Oceanside, California. Topic is &#8220;The twin sides of the fossil-fuel coin: Prospects for humanity in light of global climate instability and energy decline.&#8221; I hope to see you there.</p>
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		<title>TEDx talks in Tempe, Arizona</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/03/tedx-talks-in-tempe-arizona/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2012/03/tedx-talks-in-tempe-arizona/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Mar 2012 13:27:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=3018</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I presented a TEDx talk on the campus of Arizona State University on Wednesday, 25 January 2012. The Barrett Honors College hosted, and Ashley Irvin was the facilitator. Michael Sliwa spoke before me and, as is customary for TED talks, a couple short video clips were included. All clips are presented below in the same [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I presented a TEDx talk on the campus of Arizona State University on Wednesday, 25 January 2012. The Barrett Honors College hosted, and Ashley Irvin was the facilitator. Michael Sliwa spoke before me and, as is customary for TED talks, a couple short video clips were included. All clips are presented below in the same order they appeared the night of the event. I gave an autographed and inscribed copy of <a href="http://www.publishamerica.net/product44269.html"><em>Walking Away from Empire</em></a> to each member of the standing-room-only audience.</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ePZyohuxaZM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/M1_G5OUgg-s" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/n7Fzm1hEiDQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/gvvp_12bKmo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe><br />
_______________</p>
<p>I&#8217;m featured in an essay published online today: <a href="http://sagebrushandspuds.blogspot.com/2012/03/can-you-grow-your-own-food.html">Can you grow your own food?</a>, by Cindy Salo</p>
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		<title>Three paths to near-term human extinction</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/08/three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/08/three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2011 13:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2307</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[About a decade ago I realized we were putting the finishing touches on our own extinction party, with the party probably over by 2030. During the intervening period I&#8217;ve seen nothing to sway this belief, and much evidence to reinforce it. Yet the protests, ridicule, and hate mail reach a fervent pitch when I speak [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>About a decade ago I realized we were putting the finishing touches on our own extinction party, <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/10/apocalypse-or-extinction/">with the party probably over by 2030</a>. During the intervening period I&#8217;ve seen nothing to sway this belief, and much evidence to reinforce it. Yet the protests, ridicule, and hate mail reach a fervent pitch when I speak or write about the potential for near-term extinction of <em>Homo sapiens</em>.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re different.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;We&#8217;re special.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;We&#8217;re too intelligent.&#8221;<br />
&#8220;We&#8217;ll find a way out. We always do.&#8221;</p>
<p>We&#8217;re humans, and therefore animals. Like all life, we&#8217;re special. Like all organisms, we&#8217;re susceptible to overshoot. Like all organisms, we will experience population decline after overshoot.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s take stock of our current predicaments, beginning with one of several ongoing processes likely to cause our extinction. Then I&#8217;ll point out the <del datetime="2011-08-19T19:59:17+00:00">good</del> not quite so bad news.</p>
<p><strong>We&#8217;re headed for extinction via global climate change</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/peter-h-gleick/its-hotter-than-it-used-t_b_906242.html?ref=twitter">It&#8217;s hotter than it used to be, but not as hot as it&#8217;s going to be</a>. The political response to this now-obvious information is to <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jul/28/arctic-scientist-polar-bear-oil">suspend the scientist bearing the bad news</a>. Which, of course, is no surprise at all: As Australian scientist Gideon Polya <a href="http://countercurrents.org/polya010811.htm">points out</a>, the United States must cease production of greenhouse gases within 3.1 years if we are to avoid catastrophic runaway greenhouse. I think Polya is optimistic, and I don&#8217;t think Obama&#8217;s on-board with the attendant collapse of the U.S. industrial economy.</p>
<p>Apparently &#8212; too little, too late &#8212; a couple people have noticed a <a href="http://stpeteforpeace.org/obama.html">few facts about Obama</a>. This &#8220;awakening&#8221; might explain why his <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/obamas-political-support-is-collapsing-2011-8">political support is headed south at a rapid clip</a>.</p>
<p>But back to climate change, one of three likely <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/03/extinction-event/">extinction events</a>. Well, three I know about: I&#8217;m certain there are others, and any number can play. With four months remaining in the year, the <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44179825/ns/weather/">U.S. has already tied its yearly record for the most billion-dollar weather disasters</a>. <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5g5PCAeapjl0VmuiZhEq_ZZA2io3A?docId=CNG.2a9cccd740d3ea4f5d02fbf70fed495f.421">Russia is headed directly for loss of 30% of its permafrost by 2050</a>. <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/07/110727131415.htm">Tundra fires could accelerate planetary warming</a>. This year, <a href="http://aperfectstormcometh.blogspot.com/2011/07/current-state-of-arctic-sea-ice.html">the Northeast Passage was open as of 27 July</a>. This is a <a href="http://aperfectstormcometh.blogspot.com/2011/07/current-state-of-arctic-sea-ice-laymans.html">massively dire situation for the Arctic</a>. In fact, we have <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/08/09/291788/arctic-death-spiral-sea-ice-tipping-point/">passed a de facto tipping point with respect to Arctic ice</a>. This <a href="http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2011/arctic-ice-melt-0810.html">latter outcome is stunning, but only to those who follow the horrifically conservative and increasingly irrelevant Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change</a>. </p>
<p>Nature is responding with <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/hybrid-grizzly-polar-bears-a-worrisome-sign-of-the-norths-changing-climate/article2119020/">hybrid bears</a>, suggesting the near-term loss of all polar bears. Indeed, all <a href="http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=56685">Earth&#8217;s systems are rapidly declining</a>. <a href="http://www.earthtimes.org/nature/wildlife-moving-faster-heat-piles/1269/">Many organisms can&#8217;t keep up as they try to stay ahead of an overheating planet</a>.</p>
<p>As the living planet decays, we keep piling on. Examples abound. Here&#8217;s <a href="http://www.stuarthsmith.com/oil-rising-from-macondo-well-bp-hires-fleet-of-40-shrimp-boats-to-lay-boom-around-deepwater-horizon-site">one tiny example</a> among thousands, from that pesky BP well at Deepwater Horizon. It&#8217;s out of the news cycle, but it&#8217;s not done destroying life in the Gulf of Mexico. But perhaps this tidbit belongs beneath the heading of &#8230;</p>
<p><strong>We&#8217;re headed for extinction via environmental collapse</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/list/2011-08-09-turns-out-nature-like-wall-street-is-also-bankrupt">Nature is bankrupt, just like Wall Street and the USA</a>. Thanks for playing, but you lose. The banksters on Wall Street &#8220;win.&#8221; But only in the short term. In the long run, we&#8217;re all dead (as first stated by John Maynard Keynes).</p>
<p>Among the consequences of taking down more than 200 species each day: at some point, the species we take into the abyss is <em>Homo sapiens</em> (the wise ape). The vanishing point draws nearer every day. Our response, in the industrialized world: Bring on the toys. Burn all fossil fuels. Harvest the rain forests and strip-mine the soil. Pollute the water, eat the seed bank.</p>
<p>And, most importantly, figure out how we can make a few bucks as the world burns.</p>
<p>We have our hand in a <a href="http://www.inspirationalstories.com/2/233.html">monkey trap</a>, and we can&#8217;t let go.</p>
<p><strong>We&#8217;re headed for extinction via nuclear meltdown</strong></p>
<p>Safely shuttering a nuclear power plant requires a decade or two of careful planning. Far sooner, we&#8217;ll complete the ongoing collapse of the industrial economy. This is a source of my <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/03/nuclear-nightmares/">nuclear nightmares</a>.</p>
<p>When the world&#8217;s 442 nuclear power plants melt down catastrophically, we&#8217;ve entered an extinction event. Think clusterfukushima, times 400. Ionizing radiation could, and probably will, destroy every terrestrial organism and, therefore, every marine and freshwater organism. That, by the way, includes the most unique, special, intelligent animal on Earth.</p>
<p>Ready for some good news?</p>
<p><strong>Meanwhile, back on Wall Street</strong></p>
<p>The <a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/08/sec-destroys-9000-fraud-files-involving.html">Securities and Exchange Commission is busily covering up Wall Street crimes</a>, just as they did during the last presidential administration. And, as it turns out, they&#8217;ve been performing <a href="http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2011/08/report-sec-has-destroyed-wall-street-probe-records-for-20-years/1?csp=34news&#038;utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+usatoday-NewsTopStories+%28News+-+Top+Stories%29">this trick for two decades</a>. Finally, though, the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/sp-slashes-us-growth-forecast-says-current-crisis-worse-2008-us-risk-default-ridicules-transito">S&#038;P is taking the U.S. to the woodshed</a>.</p>
<p>The S&#038;P knows what the media and politicians know: U.S. national debt isn&#8217;t really $14 trillion and change, as we&#8217;ve been led to believe. In fact, it <a href="http://www.npr.org/2011/08/06/139027615/a-national-debt-of-14-trillion-try-211-trillion?ft=1&#038;f=1001">exceeds $200 trillion</a>. And, back when it was a mere $10.5 trillion, <a href="http://dollardaze.org/blog/?post_id=00555#fn00555_1">it exceeded the value of all circulating currencies as well as all the gold ever mined</a>. It cannot be paid off, ever. The response will be default. With luck, it&#8217;ll happen quickly and completely, thus sending us directly to the new dark age (with the post-industrial Stone Age soon to follow).</p>
<p>The ongoing crash of the stock markets differs from prior events because, for one thing, the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/heres-the-problem-with-this-market-crash-2011-8">Fed is about out of ammunition</a>. At this juncture, there are no easy solutions. In fact, there are no solutions at all. We have <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-beginning-of-the-endgame-2011-8">just about used up all our &#8220;rabbits in the hat&#8221; as far as fiscal and monetary policy are concerned</a>. Economics pundit Graham Summers agrees: The <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/fed-will-soon-find-itself-snbs-shoes-powerless">Fed is about to find itself completely powerless</a> as <a href="http://macrostory.com/?p=6484">2008 redux appears</a>. <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/great-collapse-has-officially-begun">The great collapse, for which 2008 was merely a warm-up act, is under way</a>.</p>
<p>Think of 2008 as an economic teddy bear, and 2011 as a grizzly. And I think I mentioned this one already: The hunters are out of bullets.</p>
<p>The all-too-expected political response from the final remaining superpower: <a href="http://www.alternet.org/story/151904/our_commando_war_in_120_countries:_uncovering_the_military%27s_secret_operations_in_the_obama_era/?page=1">ratchet up covert wars</a>. Maybe, while we&#8217;re at it, <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/serious-people-are-starting-to-realize-that-we-may-be-looking-at-world-war-iii-2011-8">launch another World War</a>.</p>
<p><strong>The bottom line</strong></p>
<p>You&#8217;ve been warned repeatedly in this space, and the <em>Guardian</em> finally joins the party: The industrial economic <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/aug/14/larry-elliott-global-financial-system">system is about to blow</a>. This burst of hope, our remaining chance at salvation, will undoubtedly be greeted with the usual assortment of protests, ridicule, and hate mail I&#8217;ve come to expect from planetary consumers who want to keep consuming the planet.</p>
<p>The underlying predicament &#8212; reduction in available energy &#8212; is described graphically by Gail Tverberg in <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/gail-tverberg/2011/08/12/recession-we-are-hitting-an-economic-growth-ceiling-caused-by-limited-cheap-oil">this essay</a>. She then tacks on fine analysis in <a href="http://ourfiniteworld.com/2011/08/15/oil-limits-recession-and-bumping-against-the-growth-ceiling/">this subsequent essay</a>. Jared Diamond adds a dose of complexity, as described by Erik Curren at <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/08/five-bummer-problems-that-make-societies-collapse/"><em>Transition Voice</em></a>.</p>
<p>But these warning shots are only the most recent in a rich history dating back to Marcus Aurelius (and probably further). For materials only slightly older than me that focus on our energy predicament, take a peek at <a href="http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/1956/1956.pdf">M. King Hubbert&#8217;s 1956 paper</a> and the <a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/node/23151">text of Admiral Hyman G. Rickover&#8217;s 1957 speech</a>.</p>
<p>And then, let go.</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="345" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/1lWJXDG2i0A?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>_________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://www.seismologik.com/journal/2011/8/23/three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction.html">Seismologik</a>, <a href="http://maxkeiser.com/2011/08/20/agw-deniers-and-kochbots-look-away-we%E2%80%99re-headed-for-extinction-via-global-climate-change/">Max Keiser</a>, <a href="http://conchscooterscommonsense.blogspot.com/2011/08/human-exctinction.html">Conchscooter&#8217;s Common Sense</a>, <a href="http://www.countercurrents.org/mcpherson200811.htm">Counter Currents</a>, <a href="http://carolynbaker.net/2011/08/20/three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction-by-guy-mcpherson/">Speaking Truth to Power</a>, <a href="http://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2011/08/from-guy-mcphersons-blog.html">Seemorerocks</a>, <a href="http://jackpotinvestor.com/2011/blogs/08/20/guest-post-three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/">Jackpot Investor</a>, <a href="http://ewallstreeter.com/guest-post-three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction-4844/?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+ewallstreeter+%28eWallstreeter%29#">eWallstreeter</a>, <a href="http://stocksthatpay.com/?p=19215">Stocks that Pay</a>, <a href="http://intelwars.com/2011/08/20/guest-post-three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/">Intelwars</a>, <a href="https://www.tov-hazel.com/guest-post-three-paths-near-term-human-extinction">Tov Hazel</a>, <a href="http://equityhelpdesk.com/finance-news/guest-post-three-paths-near-term-human-extinction">Equity Help Desk</a>, <a href="http://investmentwatchblog.com/three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/">InvestmentWatch</a>, <a href="http://www.goldsilvermashup.com/zero-hedge/guest-post-three-paths-to-near-term-human-extinction/">Gold &#038; Silver Mashup</a>, <a href="http://singstock.com/?p=6159">Singstock</a>, a few dozen other sites, and <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-three-paths-near-term-human-extinction">Zero Hedge</a> (comments at the latter site echo my opening paragraphs).</p>
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		<title>Bricks in the wall</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/06/bricks-in-the-wall/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/06/bricks-in-the-wall/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jul 2011 04:18:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossil fuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2178</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The U.S. Department of Defense consumes 360,000 barrels of oil each day. Yet corporate Amerika wants you to conserve, no doubt to save the last drops for the military (to be used to secure more oil). We&#8217;re being fleeced, folks, and the fleecing continues unabated at all levels. Here&#8217;s a minor example of the fox [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. Department of Defense <a href="http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/A-Look-at-US-Military-Energy-Consumption.html">consumes 360,000 barrels of oil each day</a>. Yet corporate Amerika wants <em>you</em> to conserve, no doubt to save the last drops for the military (to be used to secure more oil). We&#8217;re being fleeced, folks, and the fleecing continues unabated at all levels. Here&#8217;s a <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/28/sec-wall-street-financial-regulation-finra_n_886153.html">minor example of the fox guarding the financial chicken coop</a>, but it&#8217;s hardly extraordinary.</p>
<p>As a result of runaway fossil-fuel consumption, the amount of <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/06/110605132433.htm">carbon released to the atmosphere is still going up</a>, even as the industrial economy is buried in a depression. We haven&#8217;t observed <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43565301/ns/us_news-environment/">below-average temperatures on this planet for 25 years</a>. Even <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-oil-since-1861-2011-6">high oil prices</a> can&#8217;t keep a bad country down.</p>
<p>The response of the government and its sponsors at the Federal Reserve Bank remains unchanged: print money. <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/qe2-was-a-bust-2011-05-21?link=MW_latest_news">Quantitative Easing (QE, i.e., printing money) has been a complete failure</a>. But because Ben Bernanke has adopted levitating the stock markets as the Federal Reserve Bank&#8217;s prime directive, I&#8217;ve no doubt we&#8217;ll see QE 3, QE 4, and so on, right through to QE infinity until the U.S. dollar joins every other fiat currency in the dustbin of history. Alan Greenspan warned about the worthless paper certain to result from the ongoing Ponzi scheme, back in 2005.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.sovereignman.com/expat/is-the-debt-problem-as-bad-as-they-say">debt problem is as bad as they say</a>. And probably worse than anybody is saying. Reducing U.S. debt causes the stock markets to fall profoundly. Increasing U.S. debt makes a dire predicament worse, but a missed payment on U.S. debt leads directly to <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/sp-will-slash-america-from-aaa-to-d-if-theres-a-technical-default-2011-6">junk status for the dollar</a>, so Benny and the Inkjets will continue to print until the dollar is dead.</p>
<p>What are the options, after all? We&#8217;re on a train going over a cliff, and the cabin smells of natural gas. We can ride out the train wreck or jump out, sans parachutes. The banksters in charge have posed a third option: light a match. As economist Mish says, &#8220;<a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/06/expect-chaos.html">Expect chaos</a>.&#8221;</p>
<p>Every additional brick in the wall of civilization, placed there by the fascists in charge, has two profound consequences. First, each brick enriches the financially wealthy at the expense of the rest of us, <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/06/29/a-new-investment-strategy-preparing-for-end-times/">even as economic collapse looms</a>. Second, every brick further destroys the remnants of the living planet. Let&#8217;s kick Barack Obama &#8212; the American Gorbachev &#8212; out of the way so we can tear down this wall.</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="349" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/vMEfW87TrR0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>_____________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://kickitover.org/2011/08/03/bricks-wall">Kick It Over</a> and <a href="http://www.planbeconomics.com/2011/09/06/bricks-in-the-wall/">Plan B Economics</a>.</p>
<p>_____________</p>
<p><strong>Update: Please note the new CLASSIFIED ad under the tab, above</strong></p>
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		<slash:comments>143</slash:comments>
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		<title>Reality bites</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/05/reality-bites/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/05/reality-bites/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 May 2011 13:04:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[College Conspiracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Doug Casey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Information Adminstration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hyperinflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national inflation association]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Staind]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2049</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The BRICS are making their move to shove aside the U.S. dollar (although their own troubles might interfere). The dollar dump is particularly timely in light of recent recognition that U.S. credit verges on junk status, and rates lower than Mexico and several other countries with relatively small industrial economies. And, as pointed out by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/brics-make-move-to-shove-dollar-aside-2011-04-17">The BRICS are making their move to shove aside the U.S. dollar</a> (although <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/112728/brics-stock-crumble-barrons;_ylt=A0PDkweuZsxNbwgBBxC7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTFhZzU2b29wBHBvcwM3BHNlYwNzcGVjaWFsRmVhdHVyZXMEc2xrA2JyaWNzc3RhcnR0bw--?mod=bb-budgeting">their own troubles</a> might interfere). The dollar dump is particularly timely in light of recent recognition that <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-gets-c-credit-rating-lower-than-mexico-2011-04-28">U.S. credit verges on junk status, and rates lower than Mexico and several other countries</a> with relatively small industrial economies. And, as pointed out by the <em>Financial Times</em>, the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/451b5a2e-7bc3-11e0-9298-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1MKrtCD00">dollar is in graver danger than the Euro</a>. <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/doug-casey-precious-metals-vs-usd">Doug Casey puts the matter quite succinctly</a>: &#8220;One sure bet is the collapse of the U.S. dollar.&#8221; One near-term interpretation in light of the <a href="http://www.philstockworld.com/2011/04/29/treasury-and-fed-put-out-cash-raising-fist-pumping-crowd-for-ben/">coming cessation of King Ben&#8217;s printing press</a>: &#8220;What happens after June? Poof! It’s gone.&#8221; Even the ever-clueless folks at the <em>New York Times</em> is concerned about the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/01/weekinreview/01fed.html?_r=1">coming collapse of King Ben&#8217;s money-printing playground</a>.</p>
<p>Further signs abound: The industrial economy is in serious trouble. <a href="http://www.mybudget360.com/endgame-credit-card-nation-40-year-credit-card-bull-market-over/">Cats can no longer obtain credit cards</a>. The <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/13/markets/thebuzz/index.htm">bond market is nervous as a lizard on the interstate</a>. The <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/david-galland/the-fall-of-the-u-s-empire">influence of the U.S. extends only as far as its military</a>. And, stunningly, <a href="http://www.ogj.com/index/article-display/1106030368/articles/oil-gas-journal/general-interest-2/government/20100/may-2011/obstacles-beyond_technology.html">oil extraction is limited by availability of carbon dioxide</a> (complexity is expensive).</p>
<p>Europe isn&#8217;t exactly a model of financial maturity, either. Throughout the industrialized world, we set ourselves up for financial disaster when we put money-grubbing juvenile delinquents in charge of the checkbooks. The biggest Ponzi scheme in history was the only outcome we could have expected, had we been paying attention.</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/NOzR3UAyXao" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>A <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/2008-crash-deja-vu-well-relive-it-and-soon-2011-04-26?pagenumber=1">crash reminiscent of 2008 is on the way, but this one will be bigger</a>. Why? Because &#8220;America’s leaders never learn the lessons of history. Never.&#8221; Instead, they purposely distract the willfully ignorant masses. <a href="http://www.alt-market.com/articles/115-circus-clowns-and-sideshow-freaks">How long must we endure this hokey carnival ride before we finally start focusing on legitimately important issues?</a> Actually, it&#8217;s probably too late for that, at least at the level of society. Bring on the next round, <em>American Idol</em>.</p>
<p>As Americans complain about the price of fuel for their personal vehicles, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/us-usa-obama-oil-letter-idUSTRE73P56O20110427?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=topNews&#038;utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+reuters/topNews+%28News+/+US+/+Top+News%29">Barack Obama urges oil producers to increase output</a>. Of course Obama knows about peak oil, which is why <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/8510556/Iraq-MI6-said-invading-Iraq-could-secure-oil-supplies.html">we&#8217;re in Iraq, according to the U.K.&#8217;s MI6</a>, and why Obama will almost certainly <a href="http://www.chris-floyd.com/component/content/article/1-latest-news/2127-yes-they-lied-yes-a-million-died-and-yes-they-want-it-to-go-on.html">never authorize withdrawal from Iraq</a>. It&#8217;s also why he has us <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/mar/30/arming-libya-rebels-america-warned">breaking international law to arm Libyan rebels</a>, and it&#8217;s why he has chosen to <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-says-drill-as-us-gas-prices-surge-2011-5">ease restrictions on oil and gas drilling</a> while opting for <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/here-are-refineries-and-nuclear-power-plants-threatened-if-morganza-spillway-openedshut">oil production over human life as the Mississippi River floods</a>. These choices are based on the reality that high prices at the pump fuel voter discontent with presidential leadership, hence could harm Obama&#8217;s re-election chances. After all, the U.S. system is all about the four-years-at-a-time approach to politics, even if <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2011/02/16/two-nature-paper-join-growing-body-of-evidence-that-human-emissions-fuel-extreme-weather-flooding-that-harm-humans-and-the-environment/">emissions from burning oil destroys our only home one gallon at a time</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s becoming increasingly difficult to deny world oil extraction has peaked, so the Obama administration has employed the timeless strategy used by ostriches throughout history: burying the data by <a href="http://gregor.us/eia/there-goes-the-data-major-cuts-at-eia-washington/?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+Gregorus+%28Gregor.us%29">slashing the budget of the Energy Information Administration</a>. As usual, the populace chooses ignorance over reality, collectively whistling past the graveyard of reality even as reality comes up to take a bite.</p>
<p><iframe width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/TZzzxtG9FcE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><strong>Media alert:</strong></p>
<p>I mentioned my interview with <em>Adbusters</em> as an addendum for a guest essay, and the transcript is linked <a href="http://kickitover.org/2011/04/29/exit-empire">here</a>.</p>
<p>In addition, I am one of a few talking heads featured in <em>College Conspiracy</em>, the video embedded below. My inclusion in this video does not imply my endorsement and, contrary to this messages delivered in the video, I think (1) public education <em>should</em> be funded with taxpayer money, (2) making the college market more &#8220;free&#8221; is a terrible idea, (3) online degrees are lucrative for institutions but usually are worthless for students, (4) stocking up on silver will make you a target, not a wealthy genius, when the industrial economy completes its fall, and (5) the final two minutes are sadly emblematic of much that is wrong with the United States of Advertising. Perhaps I&#8217;m just irritated because they cut my best line: &#8220;Today&#8217;s institutions of higher education are replete with teachers who don&#8217;t want to teach and students who don&#8217;t want to learn.&#8221;</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="349" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/VpZtX32sKVE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>_____________</p>
<p><strong>Update</strong>: My monthly essay for <em>Transition Voice</em> is online today: <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/05/blessings-of-a-dying-paradigm/">Blessings of a dying paradigm</a>. You can read my beyond-the-blog essays <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/guest-commentaries/">here</a>, and interviews are posted <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/interviews/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Partial understanding on planet Easter Island</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/partial-understanding-on-planet-easter-island/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/partial-understanding-on-planet-easter-island/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Apr 2011 14:09:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Martenson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Graham Summers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Howard Kunstler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Rubin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Mauldin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john michael greer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Ruppert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicole Foss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1990</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The recent S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. debt is yet another example of a circus sideshow in a nation filled with clowns sleepwalking off a cliff. Ben Bernanke, the master of ceremonies in the most ridiculous show on Earth, has come up with a new scheme to print money, hence plunge a financially bankrupt nation further [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The recent S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. debt is <a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/why-sps-official-statement-is-nothing-but-a-joke/">yet another example of a circus sideshow</a> in a nation filled with clowns <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/8470172/America-appears-to-be-sleepwalking-towards-disaster-does-no-one-care.html">sleepwalking off a cliff</a>. Ben Bernanke, the master of ceremonies in the most ridiculous show on Earth, has come up with a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-19/bernanke-may-reinvest-maturing-debt-to-avoid-cold-turkey-end-to-stimulus.html">new scheme to print money</a>, hence plunge a financially bankrupt nation further into debt (i.e., plunge an <a href="http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175383/tomgram%3A_mccoy_and_reilly%2C_an_empire_of_failed_states/">empire on the edge</a> even <a href="http://www.alt-market.com/articles/103-into-the-economic-abyss">further into the economic abyss</a>). On the other hand, <a href="http://www.econmatters.com/2011/04/fed-must-end-qe2-on-april-27th.html">some adamantly say we&#8217;ve seen the end of quantitative easing, as of this week</a> (i.e., no more printing money from Ben). <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/jim-grant-on-qe3-2011-4">Others say, just as adamantly, we haven&#8217;t</a>. Will the circus stay in town another week? Another year? Stay tuned.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, on the all-important oil front, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/17/us-saudi-oil-idUSTRE73G14020110417?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=topNews&#038;ca=rdt&#038;utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+reuters/topNews+%28News+/+US+/+Top+News%29">Saudi Arabia cuts output</a>, claiming the market is well supplied. I guess the price of oil pushing industrial economies into the abyss indicates adequate supply. Or maybe the kingdom is lying, and their <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/node/4946?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+fso+%28Financial+Sense%29&#038;utm_content=My+Yahoo&#038;utm_term=FSO">fields are in precipitous decline</a>.</p>
<p>Declining oil extraction at the world level and ongoing <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/11/king-ben/">money printing by King Ben</a> are, unsurprisingly, raising the price of oil. In response, Barack Obama is demonstrating the type of leadership I&#8217;ve come to expect from national politicians: <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42699556/ns/politics-decision_2012/">He&#8217;s blaming speculators for the high price of oil</a> while expanding military operations in oil-rich countries (e.g., <a href="http://news.antiwar.com/2011/04/20/analysts-libya-war-could-drag-on-indefinitely/">Libya is the new <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">Iraq</del> quagmire</a>). This failure of leadership should no longer surprise anybody, but it should disappoint everybody who claims to care about human life.</p>
<p>The war to nowhere continues in Afghanistan while the occupation of Iraq, <a href="http://www.commondreams.org/view/2011/04/23-0">intended to allow American access to oil (as I&#8217;ve been writing for years)</a>, continues to strengthen the hand of Iran. The latter country &#8212; the world&#8217;s third-largest oil exporter &#8212; is <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/apr/18/iranian-warns-retaliation-through-spike-price-oil/">threatening to tighten oil supplies, thus driving the price up to $150/barrel</a>. Bombing Libya was intended to alleviate this problem, but <a href="http://www.cnbc.com//id/42655631">Libyan oil is in limbo</a>. Perhaps the <a href="http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=3054">IMF forecast of a 60% increase in the price of crude within a year</a> is right on the mark. If the forecast is even close, the <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/third-times-a-charm/">industrial economy is done within months thereafter</a>. The IMF is joined in the forecasting game by the ever-clueless folks at <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/42683030">CNBC, who foresee $6 gas at the pumps this summer</a> and also by <a href="http://www.johnmauldin.com/frontlinethoughts/the-miracle-of-compound-inflation">John Mauldin, who predicts $8 gas this summer</a> (we&#8217;ll never reach the requisite $180 oil associated with the former forecast and keep the pumps &#8230; well, pumping).</p>
<p>Graham Summers <a href="http://gainspainscapital.com/?p=256">points out</a> the U.S. dollar is falling off a cliff, and he worries &#8220;the Fed will push into a full-scale inflationary collapse within three months.&#8221; While I doubt hyperinflation trumps ongoing deflation that quickly unless <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/china-proposes-cut-two-thirds-its-3-trillion-usd-holdings">China dumps the U.S. dollar as <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">threatened</del> promised</a>, Summers&#8217; argument might explain why the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/why-fed-has-upped-ante-money-pumps-hint-system-crumbling-la-2008-again">Federal Reserve Bank has upped the ante</a> even as the industrial economy hovers on the brink because the Fed has lost control of the monetary system. In addition, hyperinflation is the only governmental solution to overcome the problem of <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/doug-hornig/first-time-in-75-years-handouts-exceeding-taxes">handouts exceeding taxes for the first time in 75 years</a>.</p>
<p>As we continue to trade in tomorrow for today &#8212; that is, as western civilization continues to destroy the living planet &#8212; every energy &#8220;expert&#8221; in the world pines for civilization, thus carelessly wishing for continuation of the ongoing planetary omnicide. This makes as much sense as longing for intelligent design and suspension of the Laws of Thermodynamics, and is equally effective. The times are changing, and we can hope they change rapidly enough to save the final remnants of the living planet that support human life.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xrIPQxrog8M" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>The planetary death wish on the part of energy gurus is one of many examples of partial understanding of the interconnected nature of our predicaments. Other examples abound, even though I&#8217;ll ignore the teeming masses of neoclassical economists who have no clue where are, how we arrived here, or where we&#8217;re headed. <a href="http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/">Jeff Rubin</a>, called by Nicole Foss an economist who doesn&#8217;t understand economics, seems to believe the industrial economy can endure oil priced at $225 with a little attention to relocalization. And he describes how traders can makes tons &#8216;o money in the casino. Foss, a peak oiler who doesn&#8217;t understand peak oil, claimed the price of oil would never exceed $100/barrel after 2008 and predicted the 2-year bull run in the stock markets was done at the 6-month mark. She ties every thread to the ever-falling ball of string that is the housing market and she and her partner at The Automatic Earth continue to insist <a href="http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/2011/04/april-15-2011-our-prosperity-is-owed.html">we&#8217;re headed for oil priced in the low double digits</a>), albeit with <del datetime="2011-04-20T00:01:47+00:00">the industrial economy</del> Disaster As Usual (DAU) continuing for decades. I&#8217;ve no doubt deflation is under way, or that it will take another <a href="http://counterpunch.org/whitney04182011.html">big bite after June if Benny Bucks cease to flood the markets</a>. But it&#8217;s a good bet the shelves turn bare, the fuel runs out, and the water stops coming out the taps when banks and other companies are perceived as financially worthless (instead of <del datetime="2011-04-20T00:01:47+00:00">horrible, life-draining monsters</del> financial bargains).</p>
<p>Other pundits exhibit similar bias toward <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">civilization</del> extinction of every species on Earth, including <em>Homo sapiens</em>. <a href="http://www.chrismartenson.com/">Chris Martenson</a> stresses the importance of accumulating and protecting financial wealth, especially his, as he charges $500 per hour to chat with people. The normally sedate Martenson, who indicated it was time to head for the hills a couple months ago, is calling for a <a href="http://www.chrismartenson.com/blog/breakdown-draws-near/56594">big breakdown within a year</a>. Is he just shaking us down for <del datetime="2011-04-19T23:06:36+00:00">cash</del> silver? And, as we head for the hills, should we pack our silver into our bug-out bags? Won&#8217;t owning precious metals make us targets, if only because industrial humans love shiny objects?</p>
<p>Similarly, &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; and his fellow traders at <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/">Zero Hedge</a> are all about making money as the world burns. <a href="http://www.kunstler.com/index.php">James Howard Kunstler</a> longs for walkable cities served by railroads and sailing ships. <a href="http://www.collapsenet.com/">Michael Ruppert</a> is trying to save his own ass, apparently unconcerned about who or what comes in the wake of civilization. The list goes on. And on. The blogosphere is bursting at the seams with people who believe the industrial economy is more important than environmental protection, and that future generations of humans don&#8217;t count as much as the current crop.</p>
<p>Based on reading these fine folks &#8212; much less the mainstream media &#8212; you&#8217;d never know the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-mother-of-all-paradigm-shifts-2011-4">mother of all paradigm shifts was under way</a>. It seems nobody can give up their love for money. Obviously, industrial humans <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-problem-with-humans-2011-4">are poorly suited for this world, much less the one headed our way</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s small wonder the likes of Foss and the gang have as many fans as <a href="http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/">John Michael Greer</a>. One quick way to increase your fan base is predicting DAU to infinity and beyond while claiming it&#8217;s a good thing. Civilized people love planetary destruction, as long as the lights stay on and the municipal water keeps coming out the taps. And especially if there&#8217;s money to be made along the way.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/without-money-wed-all-be-rich.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/without-money-wed-all-be-rich-300x225.jpg" alt="" title="without money we&#039;d all be rich" width="300" height="225" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1997" /></a></p>
<p>___________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked, sans hyperlinks, at <a href="http://countercurrents.org/McPherson260411.htm">Counter Currents</a>.</p>
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		<title>Like an elevator when the cable breaks</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/like-an-elevator-when-the-cable-breaks/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/like-an-elevator-when-the-cable-breaks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Apr 2011 02:38:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Twain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matchbox Twenty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mikhail Gorbachev]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nietzsche]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soviet union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Western civilization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1957</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to Mark Twain, &#8220;civilization is the limitless multiplication of unnecessary necessities.&#8221; It seems western civilization is just about done with the mindless multiplication of anything, much less unnecessary nonsense. It&#8217;s too late for a fast collapse of the industrial economy. According to every significant index, the U.S. hit its economic peak in 2000. We&#8217;ve [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to Mark Twain, &#8220;civilization is the limitless multiplication of unnecessary necessities.&#8221; It seems western civilization is just about done with the mindless multiplication of anything, much less unnecessary nonsense.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s too late for a fast collapse of the industrial economy. According to every significant index, the U.S. hit its economic peak in 2000. We&#8217;ve been in the midst of an economic recession since 2000. We&#8217;ve been mired in an economic depression since 2008, when the industrial age came within an eyelash of reaching its overdue terminus.</p>
<p>Even Ben Bernanke <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/only-one-us-bank-not-at-risk-of-failing-and-it-wasnt-goldman-2011-1">admitted as much</a>, years after the meltdown on Wall Street. When all the banks fail &#8212; or even a significant proportion of them &#8212; we&#8217;ll suddenly lose access to the fiat currency that allows the current set of living arrangements to persist. I strongly suspect the high price of oil had a lot to do with the near meltdown in 2008, a notion consistent with oil price spikes preceding every economic recession since 1972. </p>
<p>When the next spike in the price of oil hits us, we&#8217;ll see another huge downturn for the industrial economy. According to <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/the-ends-of-the-earth/">more than 70 pundits</a>, it&#8217;ll be the one that puts western civilization in the abattoir. This would be no surprise, given the fragility of the industrial economy and its near-termination back in 2008, when it was on much stronger footing than now. <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/the-race-is-on/">Oil priced at $140 barrel is almost certainly coming this year</a>, and that should do the trick, much to the astonishment of those who believe the industrial economy is unaffected by spikes in the price of oil, or that its long-time decline can turn into a collapse.</p>
<p>Even Bank of America has joined the rising tide of voices calling for the price of crude to <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Buy-Crude-Could-Hit-160-Bank-cnbc-3792193445.html;_ylt=A0PDkmSdMaZNd3gBpQu7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTE1cThscTRhBHBvcwMzBHNlYwN0b3BTdG9yaWVzBHNsawNidXljcnVkZWNvdWw-?x=0&#038;sec=topStories&#038;pos=main&#038;asset=&#038;ccode=">exceed $140/bbl within the next three months</a>. And no wonder, with <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/business/world-business/opec-raises-2011-world-oil-demand-growth-20110413-1dcxc.html">OPEC raising expectations of world demand</a> after <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/jeff-rubin/where-is-saudi-excess-capacity-when-you-need-it">Saudi Arabia and OPEC have peaked</a>.</p>
<p>As I&#8217;ve pointed out many times, and as Japan is making clear right now, <a href="http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2011/04/14/JapanOilFragility/">economic growth is all about oil consumption</a>. We&#8217;re falling off the oil-supply cliff this year, according to many sources, including the U.S. Department of Energy&#8217;s Energy Information Administration and the Joint Operating Environment of the U.S. military.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know the terminology for a sudden stop of the industrial economy. I don&#8217;t think terms such as hyperinflation and deflation apply, and economists rarely use the phrase, &#8220;<a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/02/demise-of-the-dollar/">industrial economy crushed by Godzilla</a>.&#8221; As with any leap off a skyscraper, it&#8217;s not the fall that&#8217;s fatal: It&#8217;s the sudden stop at the bottom.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/did-fed-its-stealthy-synthetic-bet-keep-yields-low-become-next-aig">rapid collapse of AIG back in September 2008 is a harbinger of an equally rapid failure of the Fed, hence our entire monetary system.</a> The only difference is that this time there will be nobody to bail out the ultimate backstopper and, as a result, we will observe the long overdue termination of a failed experiment.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s one analogy: We&#8217;re in an aerial tram, suspended a few thousand feet above the valley floor by a sturdy, steel, 2-inch-diameter cable. But the cable is comprised of thousands of tightly wrapped strands, all of which are hundreds of years old and half of which have already broken. The remaining strands are breaking at an increasingly rapid pace as the pressure builds. The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank has been holding this sucker together with duct tape and baling wire, but <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/11/king-ben/">King Ben</a> is fresh out of both items.</p>
<p>I find it a bit odd &#8212; no doubt because of bias inherent in my life as a scientist &#8212; that artists have a better understanding of reality than do scientists. Matchbox Twenty provides one example (thanks to Mike Sliwa for the tip).</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/TxAGGyrvJ9c" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>And while we&#8217;re on the topic of rearranging the deck chairs as the Titanic takes on water, <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2011/0414/How-the-US-is-like-North-Korea?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+feeds/csm+%28Christian+Science+Monitor+|+All+Stories%29">the international community is rightly aghast at North Korea for spending a fortune on its military when its populace is suffering. Nearly one quarter of North Korea&#8217;s population is either starving or at risk of starvation, according to a recent UN report, yet its government pours money into missile and nuclear programs. Such behavior seems to be the height of irrationality, especially when you consider they stole the model for this behavior from the U.S.</a></p>
<p>I realize you and I had little to do with the dire straits in which we are immersed (i.e., we didn&#8217;t fuck it up). But we&#8217;ll be paying a high price.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Sdn3O6aaMNc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>No matter how many times I point out the acceleration of this ongoing slow decline, people take issue. I suspect it&#8217;s the primary reason Energy Bulletin and similar websites do not carry my essays. <em>It can&#8217;t happen here. This time is different. There&#8217;ll be plenty of warning.</em> And so on. In response to the insanity of the herd&#8217;s groupthink, I turn to Nietzsche for solace: &#8220;The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself.&#8221;</p>
<p>The seemingly rapid collapse of the former Soviet Union &#8212; the latest superpower to hit bottom, never to recover &#8212; actually took a few years to transpire. The collapse was faster than the ongoing collapse of the current system, but I have the distinct impression Obama is a conniving version of Gorbachev. A few informed people saw the Soviet collapse coming and sounded the klaxons, but government officials did not post warning signs on the nightly news. Quibbling over minor differences between socialist news delivered by and for the Politburo and fascist news delivered by and for the Corporatocracy seems irrelevant at this point. As <a href="http://www.alternet.org/story/150630/oliver_stone:_don't_betray_us,_barack_--_end_the_empire_?page=entire">Oliver Stone points out, Barack Obama could take a lesson from Mikhail Gorbachev about how to dismantle a dysfunctional empire that has long overstayed its welcome</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/warning-shots/">Warning shots have been plentiful</a>. <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/07/the-risks-of-fiddling/">The masses have completely ignored these many shots</a>. <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/third-times-a-charm/">The next shot likely will be terminal for the industrial economy</a>.</p>
<p>The decline of the U.S. industrial economy has been a slow-motion, ongoing process, albeit with several steps down along the way. If we&#8217;re lucky, the next step leads right off a skyscraper, thus leading to a sudden stop at the sidewalk below. Obviously, this is the only legitimate remaining opportunity to prevent the near-term extinction of the many species we drive to extinction every day, as well <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/02/extinction-event/">as our own species</a>. And, of course, it will allow us to see the end of Twain&#8217;s limitless multiplication of unnecessary necessities.</p>
<p>________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/04/express-to-basement.html">Island Breath</a> and <a href="http://coyoteprime-runningcauseicantfly.blogspot.com/2011/05/guy-mcpherson-like-elevator-when-cable.html">Running &#8216;Cause I Can&#8217;t Fly</a>.</p>
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		<slash:comments>82</slash:comments>
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		<title>Quickening</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/quickening/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/quickening/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Apr 2011 16:56:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Argentina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Hugo Chavez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Perkins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Whitney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wisconsin]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1913</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the United States, various states offer glimpses into the future of industrial economies. Wisconsin is filling the mainstream media outlets, but California really leads the way. In the latter state, the lights have gone out and the water has been turned off for a significant number of people. Those events are coming to the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the United States, various states offer glimpses into the future of industrial economies. Wisconsin is filling the mainstream media outlets, but California really leads the way. In the latter state, the <a href="http://dailybail.com/home/people-begin-living-without-electricity-and-water-in-califor.html">lights have gone out and the water has been turned off for a significant number of people</a>.</p>
<p>Those events are coming to the whole country, and a lot sooner than most people realize. Nobody thought a first-world, industrialized nation such as Argentina would implode, either. Until it did, quite rapidly, a decade ago. And no wonder: <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2011/01/kolin-how-the-us-became-a-police-state.html">All police states fail</a>.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/rH6_i8zuffs" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>The U.S. will prove no exception to the rule of police states that fail. If <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/saudi-arabia-goes-mad-saudi-oil-minister-says-crude-hit-300-if-turmoil-spreads-saudi">unrest spreads to Saudi Arabia, it&#8217;s game over for the world&#8217;s industrialized countries</a> (and therefore a whole new, better ballgame for life on Earth). Here&#8217;s hoping.</p>
<p>Economic hit-man John Perkins points out the obvious: Corporations, not nations, run the world. Maintaining American Empire as a corporate state requires obedience at home and oppression abroad. Oh, and we&#8217;re headed for complete economic collapse whether or not you continue to act as slave to the fascistic monsters in charge.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/0CofEbxtIxI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Even as corporations are worried about their ability to <a href="http://www.dcvelocity.com/articles/20110202_supply_chain_doubts_grow/">maintain supply chains</a> to keep you fed and filled with toys, they continue to find novel ways to <a href="http://www.alternet.org/economy/149892/5_ways_corporate_scavengers_are_making_big_money_off_our_economic_pain">take money from your wallet</a>. Consider, for example, your tax dollars going directly <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/the-perfect-bailout-fannie-and-freddie-now-send-taxpayer-cash-directly-to-wall-street-535882.html;_ylt=A0PDkxIs7ElNmVQBLwZk7ot4;_ylu=X3oDMTE3M3ZwaHJhBHBvcwM2NARzZWMDYXJ0aWNsZUxpc3QEc2xrA3RoZXBlcmZlY3RiYQ--?tickers=^DJI,XLF,XHB,FAZ,C,BAC,GS">from Freddie and Fannie to Wall Street</a> in the perfect bailout for the banks.</p>
<p>On the other hand, Obama is promising to cut the budget significantly, as indicated in <a href="http://www.youtube.com/user/10000Pennies#p/u/9/cWt8hTayupE">this video</a>. But the <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gZVFpiNGay8wlwxDx6d-EKO9Bh0Q?docId=db65a4590e4943118627c723161b1c4a">deficit comprises a larger share of the industrial economy than any time since 1945</a>, and Obama&#8217;s response is to continue along the same path and <a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/02/15/108796/obama-says-hed-stop-adding-to.html">lie about it</a>. Sadly, many Americans believe Obama about his many promises, even gulping down the Kool-Aid of his <a href="http://www.chrismartenson.com/blog/analysis-obamas-budget-fantastic-comedy/52899">surreal budget projections</a>. For most Americans, soaring rhetoric beats the truth every time. Despite Obama&#8217;s frequent expressions of love for the free market, it&#8217;s pretty clear the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/if-you-think-the-government-is-manipulating-the-market-this-chart-is-for-you-2011-2">government is manipulating the stock markets</a>. After campaigning on the promise to close Guantanamo Bay, <a href="http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/01/obama-administration-expanding-guantnamo-bay-nyt/">Obama is expanding it</a>. And so on, until it becomes impossible to keep up with the never-ending string of lies emanating from our elected officials (which doesn&#8217;t stop the lists, such as <a href="http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/04/05/the-top-five-campaign-promises-obama-left-behind/">this one</a>, from proliferating). Along with his other transgressions, the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize has become <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/02/10/news/international/america_exports_weapons.fortune/index.htm">arms dealer for the world</a>. In short, <a href="http://stpeteforpeace.org/obama.html">hope and change is not working out for the average American</a>, leading <a href="http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&#038;aid=23155">Mike Whitney to suggest we trade Obama for Hugo Chavez</a>. That&#8217;s a great idea, but I doubt the Venezuelan people would go along with it.</p>
<p>Resistance is fertile. If you&#8217;re unwilling to <a href="http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/this_is_what_resistance_looks_like_20110403/">take resistance seriously</a>, you can start by planting a garden. Never mind the old adage, &#8220;who feeds you, owns you.&#8221; <a href="http://countercurrents.org/laconte300311.htm">You&#8217;ll need the garden to survive</a>. As you plant, grow, share the harvest, and improve the soil, it should become clear that your garden is a metaphor for life. You&#8217;ll want to tend your relationships as you tend your garden.</p>
<p>I suggest you start today. Even if the ongoing collapse of the industrial economy is not complete for another three years &#8212; which seems inconceivable in light of the steadily rising pace of events, including the <a href="http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/4/5_Richard_Russell_-_US_Dollar_Collapse_Will_Accelerate.html">accelerating decline of the U.S. dollar</a> &#8212; it&#8217;ll take time to prepare for a bountiful future. As I&#8217;ve indicated many times, the time to dig a well is not when you&#8217;re thirsty, the time to plant a garden is not when you&#8217;re hungry, and the time to build shelter against the storm is not when it&#8217;s sleeting.</p>
<p>______________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://coyoteprime-runningcauseicantfly.blogspot.com/2011/04/guy-mcpherson-quickening.html">Running &#8216;Cause I Can&#8217;t Fly</a>.</p>
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		<title>Techno-optimism meets its match</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/11/techno-optimism-meets-its-match/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/11/techno-optimism-meets-its-match/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Nov 2010 19:09:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[american dream]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiat currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greece]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international energy agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ireland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Niall Ferguson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nobel Peace Prize]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sovereign debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Timothy Geithner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1154</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to the extremely conservative International Energy Agency (IEA), we&#8217;ve passed the world peak for conventional oil (in 2006, they say). In a stunning nod to reality, even the New York Times agrees. In a bizarre case of committee-style cognitive dissonance, the IEA follows up on the admission that peak oil has come and gone [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to the extremely conservative International Energy Agency (IEA), we&#8217;ve passed the world peak for conventional oil (in 2006, they say). In a stunning nod to reality, even the <em>New York Times</em> <a href="http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/14/is-peak-oil-behind-us/?src=twt&#038;twt=nytimesgreen">agrees</a>. In a bizarre case of committee-style cognitive dissonance, the IEA follows up on the admission that peak oil has come and gone with the conclusion that energy will never limit economic growth. In short, <a href="http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/"><em>World Energy Outlook 2010</em></a> is (1) characterized by <a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7102">questionable assumptions and major omissions</a>, or (2) a <a href="http://aleklett.wordpress.com/2010/11/10/spin-slips-off-oil-production-numbers-world-energy-outlook-2010-%E2%80%93-a-cry-for-help/">cry for help</a>. Maybe both.</p>
<p>Not that we should believe IEA about anything related to oil. This is the gang that promised an annual decline rate of 9.1% in conventional oil, beginning in 2009. We&#8217;re holding at a decline rate of about 3%, year over year, since early 2009.</p>
<p>Techno-optimists take note: It&#8217;ll <a href="http://dianchu.blogspot.com/2010/11/131-number-of-years-to-replace-oil.html">take 131 years to replace oil</a>. Not 130, and not 132, but 131. And we don&#8217;t have 4.9147 years left in the Age of Oil. That might prove problematic.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/IEA-2010.png"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/IEA-2010-300x197.png" alt="" title="IEA 2010" width="300" height="197" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-1155" /></a></p>
<p>Taking a turn to the other side of the fossil-fuel coin, the IEA devastatingly projects <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Global-Issues/2010/1111/Global-temperature-to-rise-3.5-degrees-C.-by-2035-International-Energy-Agency?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+feeds/csm+%28Christian+Science+Monitor+|+All+Stories%29">global temperature will rise 3.5 degrees C by 2035</a>. This prediction comes on the heels of <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/10/apocalypse-or-extinction/">increasingly dire projections</a>, the latter of which all suggest habitat for humans will be gone from this planet by mid-century. I remain optimistic because none of these projections acknowledge physical limits on combustion of fossil fuels. That is, they fail to acknowledge the truly good news of economic collapse for our species and many others.</p>
<p>If we accept the IEA&#8217;s analysis and prediction, the few humans on the planet by 2035 won&#8217;t be worried about the price of air fare. We can only hope the projection for global temperature is based on the same kind of fuzzy logic used to conclude we&#8217;ve passed the world oil peak, then conclude we never will. Or we can hope the IEA is using climate change to justify economic <del datetime="2010-11-14T04:23:52+00:00">collapse</del> contraction. I suspect we&#8217;ll see a lot of this type of argument in the coming months, as the world&#8217;s industrial economy goes up in flames.</p>
<p>Just when you thought the <a href="http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2010/11/its-not-great-recssion-its-great-bank.html"><del datetime="2010-11-12T02:22:33+00:00">Great Recession</del> Great Bank Robbery</a> was over, it turns out the <a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/17390/232611">courts are helping the banks steal money from homeowners</a>. No surprise there, of course: Civilization is properly defined as the transfer of fiat currency from those who have little of it to those who have a lot. And there is nobody more civilized than Bernanke and Obama, as indicated by the way they <del datetime="2010-11-12T16:39:00+00:00"> spend</del> print money on <a href="http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/2010/11/thursday-the-feds-got-pomo-fever.html">bank executives instead of us &#8220;little&#8221; people</a>. If you have a sense of humor about the economic apocalypse, check out the video below, bearing in mind that if you can laugh at yourself, and you can laugh at the apocalypse, then you&#8217;ll never run out of material.</p>
<p><object width="640" height="390"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/PTUY16CkS-k&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;version=3"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/PTUY16CkS-k&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;version=3" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowScriptAccess="always" width="640" height="390"></embed></object></p>
<p>Fortunately, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/u.s.-of-%22irony-and-hypocrisy%22-we%27re-no.-1-...-at-currency-manipulation-pento-says-535604.html?tickers=TBT%2CTLT%2CUUP%2CUDN%2CGLD%2CFXI">regardless of the lies</a> by the likes of Geithner, Bernanke, and Obama, the days of fiat currency are <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-death-of-the-dollar-11-signs-that-we-could-be-on-the-verge-of-a-global-currency-crisis-2010-11#chinas-leading-credit-rating-agency-has-downgraded-us-debt-to-a-in-the-aftermath-of-qe2-1">just about behind us</a> as collapse of the industrial economy nears completion. <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/ireland-is-the-%27new-greece%27-japan-and-u.s.-next-in-line-for-%22catastrophe%22-pento-says-535605.html;_ylt=A0PDklzCz91MGeIAIBNk7ot4;_ylu=X3oDMTE3ZDlhNzNwBHBvcwMyNgRzZWMDYXJ0aWNsZUxpc3QEc2xrA2lyZWxhbmRpc3RoZQ--?tickers=FXE,GLD,tbt,TLT,EWJ,^dji,^gspc">Ireland is the new Greece, but the U.S. is dogging</a> both countries on the path to insolvency. Historian Niall Ferguson describes one plausible outcome <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/niall-ferguson-sovereign-debt-crisis-2010-11#-1">here</a>. Regardless of the details, soon &#8212; and perhaps soon enough, though only time will tell &#8212; we&#8217;ll be using Federal Reserve Notes as toilet paper or fire-starter, which will be handy when we can&#8217;t find either product at the grocery store.</p>
<p>The American Dream, which is based on never-ending economic growth, <a href="http://www.postcarbon.org/article/178709-the-end-of-growth">is over</a>. <a href="http://www.activistpost.com/2010/11/beware-rising-ire-of-forgotten.html">Change is coming</a>, and it&#8217;s not the peaceful kind. But it&#8217;s bound to be better than living in <a href="http://chris-floyd.com/articles/1-latest-news/2049-crawl-of-duty-american-black-ops-uber-alles.html">country governed by war criminals</a> who are adorned with Nobel Peace prizes.</p>
<p>The TechnoMessiah has met Reality. As with the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/market-musings-111410">Federal Reserve&#8217;s money-printing vs. the secular bear market</a>, there can be only one winner. I&#8217;m betting on Reality, in a rout.</p>
<p>__________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://darwiniana.com/2010/11/21/techno-optimism-meets-its-match/">Darwiniana</a>, <a href="http://countercurrents.org/mcpherson161110.htm">Counter Currents</a>, <a href="http://billtotten.blogspot.com/2010/11/techno-optimism-meets-its-match.html">Bill Totten&#8217;s Weblog</a>, and <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2010/11/techno-optimism-meets-its-match.html">Island Breath</a>.</p>
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