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	<title>Guy McPherson&#039;s blog &#187; Falling in love again &#8211; Guy McPherson&#039;s blog</title>
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	<description>Humans have tinkered with the natural world since we appeared on the evolutionary stage. Our days certainly seem numbered: As the home team, Nature bats last.</description>
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		<title>Falling in love again</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/11/falling-in-love-again/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/11/falling-in-love-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Nov 2011 14:57:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[empire]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2639</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When I was young, I fell in the love with the girl next door. Well, maybe it wasn&#8217;t love. But she was lovely and it felt like love, to my young heart. It wasn&#8217;t about sex, although she was sexy. Color me smitten. Fast-forward a few years, and I fall again. I&#8217;m older, perhaps more [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When I was young, I fell in the love with the girl next door. Well, maybe it wasn&#8217;t love. But she was lovely and it felt like love, to my young heart. It wasn&#8217;t about sex, although she was sexy. Color me smitten.</p>
<p>Fast-forward a few years, and I fall again. I&#8217;m older, perhaps more mature, maybe even wiser. But I fall just as hard. She&#8217;s seductive, and I&#8217;m seduced. This time, it sticks for a long while. This time, she&#8217;s alluring, attractive, dream-like, sexy, desired by every man I know. She plays hard to get, but I catch her and the dream she represents. For decades, I switch to cruise control, taking for granted the dream I&#8217;ve corralled. For decades, she&#8217;s always there for me, and me for her. Thinking we&#8217;re working hard, we entertain often, buy the expected baubles, and travel when we want.</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/syU1gYgvZAs?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>It&#8217;s coming apart now. She&#8217;s familiar with the thoughts of Marcus Aurelius, which makes her afraid of the future: &#8220;Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future, too.&#8221; I&#8217;m excited about the future, and I can no longer live in the past. I&#8217;ve done the entire Kübler-Ross cycle of grief, slipping back-and-forth as frequently as I once dined with her.</p>
<p>My denial was profound. How could it be over? We&#8217;re perfect for each other. We&#8217;ve never really known another, not like this. Please, tell me it&#8217;s just a phase.</p>
<p>My anger was brief and deep. Sometimes I look back on those days through my Buddhism-inspired lens, aghast I could have been so ridiculous. It was nobody&#8217;s fault, really. We grow. Sometimes we grow together. Sometimes we grow apart.</p>
<p>I still bargain, if only in my mind. What about shorter showers or, better yet, longer showers together? Surely we can merely cut back a little on our excesses, and we&#8217;ll be fine. I&#8217;m willing to compromise. But of course I know better. There&#8217;s no putting the air back in these shredded tires.</p>
<p>Depression visits, too. Trading in the comforts of familiarity for a new and different set of experiences is difficult at my advanced age. Dark nights alone at the mud hut drive me to tears. Tears come on sunny days, too, as I lean against the stem of a big cottonwood tree or lie on the ground near the river, reduced to a trickle by the insults of industry.</p>
<p>Acceptance came late, and skips away too often. But I&#8217;m building a new relationship now, one based on trust and mutual respect. It&#8217;s not about the sex, though she&#8217;s sexy. It&#8217;s about love, and she&#8217;s lovely. She&#8217;s kind, playful, and passionate. She doesn&#8217;t judge me, though my inadequacies are legion. She&#8217;s courageous and strong, in sharp contrast to my ever-present fear and fragility. I&#8217;m a tree-hugging dirt worshiper, and she likes to play in the dirt; when I&#8217;m feeling particularly flirtatious, I refer to her as my dirty girl. She accommodates my whimsy, and I love hers. I can scarcely believe she&#8217;s the same one I knew, and left, so many years ago. This time, I&#8217;ll not let go. I want to spend my remaining days with her.</p>
<p>After constantly taking from others and occasionally giving to me, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athena">Athena</a> is dead to me. I miss her now and then, but I&#8217;m back with Nature now. Although I was slow to the realization, Nature provides all I need, and all I&#8217;ve ever needed. Color me smitten, yet again.</p>
<p><iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/t0cdCUtbDFQ?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>__________________</p>
<p>Same-day update: I&#8217;m one of a few interviewed for the C-REALM broadcast released today and titled, &#8220;<a href="http://c-realm.com/podcasts/crealm/285-the-rhetoric-of-doom/">The rhetoric of doom</a>.&#8221;</p>
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		<slash:comments>79</slash:comments>
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		<title>Preparing in place (and speaking in other places)</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/11/preparing-in-place-and-speaking-in-other-places/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/11/preparing-in-place-and-speaking-in-other-places/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Nov 2011 14:50:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dmitry Orlov]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1503</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are various ways to ready oneself for the trip down the peak-oil curve, as well as for climate chaos. Most importantly, as I&#8217;ve indicated many times, is psychological readiness. If you are mentally prepared for a future radically different from the past you&#8217;ve known, you&#8217;re well on your way to thriving in the years [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are various ways to ready oneself for the trip down the peak-oil curve, as well as for climate chaos. Most importantly, as I&#8217;ve indicated many times, is psychological readiness. If you are mentally prepared for a future radically different from the past you&#8217;ve known, you&#8217;re well on your way to thriving in the years ahead.</p>
<p>Also, as I&#8217;ve indicated many times, there are a couple general approaches one can pursue along the path of climate change and simultaneous collapses of the industrial economy and the living planet. You can hit the road, or you can mitigate in place. Either way, you&#8217;ll need to secure clean water and healthy food,  maintain body temperature, and create and maintain a decent human community.</p>
<p>I recommend a life of travel for most people, although I&#8217;ve taken a different route for personal reasons. Either way, an adventure-filled life awaits. On the road, you&#8217;ll need quick wits, good interpersonal skills, and astonishing amounts of creativity, compassion, and courage. Ditto for mitigating in place. In this post, I&#8217;ll address the primary concerns associated with mitigating in place, with a particular focus on me and the mud hut (my favorite subject and my favorite location, respectively).</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re staying put, I suggest you pay attention to the 3 Rs of the future. No, not the educational ones from years gone by. And it&#8217;s far too late for the three Rs targeting reduced consumption in a nation build on consumption, two of which we have ignored because there is no financial profit in reducing and reusing. Recycling &#8212; the only one of these three relevant actions fascist Amerika promotes &#8212; is like an apology after a punch in the face (credit <a href="http://cactusnewsonline.com/carrotchasing/">Mike Sliwa</a>). We punch the planet in the face with every cultural act, and then we apologize by sorting plastic and aluminum into separate bins.</p>
<p>The three Rs of interest in this post are relocalization, resilience, and redundancy. We&#8217;re headed for a severely constrained future with respect to transport of materials and humans. The days of the 12,000-mile supply chain are nearly behind us. Forget about cheap plastic crap from China, expensive watches from Switzerland, and decent hand tools from the Sears Roebuck catalog: We&#8217;re going to have to make do with what we&#8217;ve got in the very local area. Before the supply chain breaks, we should work toward building a resilient set of living arrangements steeped in redundancy. After the supply chain breaks, it&#8217;ll be a little late to start digging a well and learning how to grow food.</p>
<p>Here at the mud hut, we pay serious attention to multiple sources of water (two solar pumps, hand pump, rainwater harvesting from two rooftops, and the nearby river), food (wildcrafting, orchard, gardens, goats for milk and cheese, eggs from ducks and chickens, and in the future, hunting relatively large-bodied animals), body temperature (well-insulated, passive-solar house, multiple awnings, proper clothing, and abundant water and firewood), and human community (abundance in this category exceeds my patience to explain again, but search the archives for a few hints). I&#8217;ve no doubt we&#8217;re missing some things that will ease our lives in our post-carbon future. Some of these items will remain unknown, even to us, until it&#8217;s too late. I&#8217;m already missing a few things, even before the <a href="http://www.oftwominds.com/blognov11/volatility-crash11-11.html">impending big crash</a> leads to &#8220;lights out.&#8221; (As <a href="http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2011/10/stages-of-collapse-revised-joined-at.html">Dmitry Orlov uncharacteristically suggests</a>, the day draws near. As <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/cme-goes-margin-defcon-1-makes-maintenance-margin-equal-initial-everything">&#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; characteristically suggests</a>, the day is near enough to be seen by a blind man.) And as I&#8217;ve mentioned a few hundred times, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/world-emissions-of-carbon-dioxide-soar-higher-than-experts-worst-case-scenario-for-climate/2011/11/03/gIQAn4f9iM_story.html">skyrocketing greenhouse gas emissions</a>, along with wholesale destruction of the living planet, will seal our fate as a species unless we crash this luxury ship, and soon.</p>
<p>I know you&#8217;ve read this one before, but I&#8217;d love to have a solar ice-maker to cool our drinks and our bodies. But if the industrial economy reaches its overdue end within a few weeks, I won&#8217;t. And I suspect we&#8217;ll muddle through, until we don&#8217;t. I&#8217;d love to have more time to convince my human community to climb aboard the collapse train. But if the industrial economy reaches its overdue end within a few weeks, I won&#8217;t. And I suspect we&#8217;ll muddle through, until we don&#8217;t. I&#8217;d love to make a few more trips to discuss the dire nature of our predicaments with people who are aware and interested. But if the industrial economy reaches its overdue end within a few weeks, I won&#8217;t. And I suspect I&#8217;ll muddle through, although I&#8217;ll miss trips tentatively scheduled to Australia, New Zealand, Scotland, New England, and various places nearer the mud hut.</p>
<p>Closer to home, and closer to my heart, I&#8217;d love to have time for my parents &#8212; and the thousands of other winter immigrants descending on this area &#8212; to make the return trip to their northern homes. But if the industrial economy reaches its overdue end within a few weeks, or even within a few months, they won&#8217;t. And I have no idea how we&#8217;ll muddle through.</p>
<p>All things being equal, I&#8217;d rather have the solar ice-maker in a community fully on-board with collapse. All things being equal, I&#8217;d rather make a multitude of excursions to exotic places. All things being equal, I&#8217;d rather my parents experience collapse in their own home. But all things are not equal and, more than all these things, I&#8217;d rather have a planet marked by much more abundance and far fewer extinctions than we&#8217;re currently witnessing.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Witches-brewing-local-children-in-cauldron.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Witches-brewing-local-children-in-cauldron-228x300.jpg" alt="" title="Witches brewing local children in cauldron" width="228" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-2589" /></a><br />
_________________</p>
<p>I&#8217;m scheduled to speak at several events during the coming week or so; (1) On Wednesday, 9 November at 7:00 p.m., I&#8217;ll address the <a href="http://www.meetup.com/oilawareness-67/events/qmcdnyppbmb/">Atlanta Beyond Oil Monthly Meetup</a>, 657 Rosalia Street SE, Atlanta, Georgia; on (2) Saturday, 12 November and Sunday, 13 November I&#8217;ll deliver two, 18-minute presentations at the <a href="http://sustainabilityconference.org/index.htm">International Conference on Sustainability, Transition &#038; Culture Change</a> in Bellaire, Michigan, and (3) on Tuesday, 15 November at 6:30 p.m. at 5885 M 115 Frankfort Hwy, I&#8217;ll speak about developing a durable set of living arrangements in Benzonia, Michigan (sponsored by <a href="http://www.growbenzie.org/">Grow Benzie</a>). I hope to meet you at one (or more) of these events.<br />
_________________</p>
<p>This post is permalinked at the <a href="http://refreshmentcenter.blogspot.com/2011/11/guest-post-preparing-in-place-and.html">Refreshment Center</a> and <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/11/preparing-in-place-for-collapse.html">Island Breath</a>.</p>
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		<title>Couchsurfing with my soapbox</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/09/couchsurfing-with-my-soapbox/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/09/couchsurfing-with-my-soapbox/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Sep 2011 14:10:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2477</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My recent foray to Wisconsin and Michigan had me staying five different homes, hence sleeping in five different beds and eating at many different tables. It was quite an exciting adventure, spent with wide-awake people, and I hope to repeat the experience as many times as the industrial economy allows. I&#8217;ve embedded one of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My recent foray to Wisconsin and Michigan had me staying five different homes, hence sleeping in five different beds and eating at many different tables. It was quite an exciting adventure, spent with wide-awake people, and I hope to repeat the experience as many times as the industrial economy allows.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve embedded one of the thirteen presentations I delivered over a span of eight days. It&#8217;s my final presentation, excluding Q&#038;A (which might come later), which partially explains my on-and-off incoherence (the remainder is inexplicable, as usual).</p>
<p>The presentation includes a half-hearted pitch of my final book. The book is available, a couple months earlier than anticipated, and can be found <a href="http://www.publishamerica.net/product44269.html">at this link</a> as well as the usual online outlets. If all goes according to plan, I&#8217;ll receive a few copies later today. The book has already been reviewed by <a href="http://kulturcritic.wordpress.com/2011/09/27/a-kulturcritic-review-walking-away-from-empire-by-guy-mcpherson/">Sandy Krolick, the kulturCritic</a> and <a href="http://cameronconaway.com/book-review-walking-away-from-empire/">Cameron Conaway, the poet</a>. Krolick&#8217;s review was picked up by <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/09/calloused-but-not-broken/"><em>Transition Voice</em></a>, and Conaway&#8217;s review was run by <em>Examiner</em><a href="http://www.examiner.com/poetry-in-national/book-review-walking-away-from-empire-review"></a>.</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/yOq2A_SGTYA?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>I&#8217;m trying to produce video from my presentation at a Harvest Gathering Festival with a barn as venue. I may post it at a later date, if all goes according to plan. It includes no slides, and the material differs considerably from the one above.</p>
<p>Reaction was mixed, as usual. Some people, <a href="http://tnation.t-nation.com/free_online_forum/world_news_war/guy_mcpherson">such as this college student</a>, found my messages unbelievable. Others quibbled with the timing of the sources I presented (I carefully avoided pushing my own predictions). Standing ovations were rare &#8212; even though I begged for them &#8212; but in the end several people understood the importance of collapse if we are to extend our run as a species.</p>
<p>____________________</p>
<p>Huge thanks to Shelley Youngman, who facilitated, organized, chauffeured, and hosted. A kindred spirit, Shelley was kind enough to make many of the arrangements and also to spend large blocks of time with me. Voluntarily, no less.</p>
<p>Thanks, too, to my many new friends and hosts (in the order I met them): Mike Draney and Vicki Medland (University of Wisconsin-Green Bay), Steve DeGoosh and Brooke Isham (Northern Michigan University), Sarah Redmond and Dan Redmond (Alger Community Transition), Shelley Youngman and Frank Youngman (Transition Cadillac), and Kimberly Sager and Aaron Wissner (Local Future).</p>
<p>____________________</p>
<p>This post is permalinked at <a href="http://www.planbeconomics.com/2011/10/04/couchsurfing-with-my-soapbox/">Plan B Economics</a> and <a href="http://survivalacres.com/wordpress/?p=2260">Survival Acres</a>.</p>
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		<title>Catching up</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/08/catching-up/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/08/catching-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Aug 2011 20:49:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2270</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This brief post is used to point out three former activities and one future one. I present them as I live: in chronological order. My July essay at Transition Voice summarizes collapse-related information. I am featured in this article from 14 July by editor Erik Curren at Transition Voice. I am featured in this article [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This brief post is used to point out three former activities and one future one. I present them as I live: in chronological order.</p>
<p>My <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/07/viral-collapse/">July essay</a> at Transition Voice summarizes collapse-related information.</p>
<p>I am featured in <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/07/praying-for-rain-praying-for-collapse/">this article</a> from 14 July by editor Erik Curren at Transition Voice.</p>
<p>I am featured in <a href="http://goodmenproject.com/ethics-values/organs-for-ipads/">this article</a> from 4 August at The Good Men Project.</p>
<p>Finally, I will be speaking in the upper midwestern U.S. next month. Details are still in development, and will be posted in this space. For now, the schedule includes the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay (ca. 12-13 September), Northern Michigan University in Marquette, Michigan (14-15 September), Munising, Michigan (16 September), and in and around Cadillac, Michigan (17 September through &#8230; unknown). I&#8217;d love to see you at any of these events, so please let me know if you&#8217;ll be there and available to meet.</p>
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		<title>Reality bites</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/05/reality-bites/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/05/reality-bites/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 May 2011 13:04:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=2049</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The BRICS are making their move to shove aside the U.S. dollar (although their own troubles might interfere). The dollar dump is particularly timely in light of recent recognition that U.S. credit verges on junk status, and rates lower than Mexico and several other countries with relatively small industrial economies. And, as pointed out by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/brics-make-move-to-shove-dollar-aside-2011-04-17">The BRICS are making their move to shove aside the U.S. dollar</a> (although <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/112728/brics-stock-crumble-barrons;_ylt=A0PDkweuZsxNbwgBBxC7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTFhZzU2b29wBHBvcwM3BHNlYwNzcGVjaWFsRmVhdHVyZXMEc2xrA2JyaWNzc3RhcnR0bw--?mod=bb-budgeting">their own troubles</a> might interfere). The dollar dump is particularly timely in light of recent recognition that <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-gets-c-credit-rating-lower-than-mexico-2011-04-28">U.S. credit verges on junk status, and rates lower than Mexico and several other countries</a> with relatively small industrial economies. And, as pointed out by the <em>Financial Times</em>, the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/451b5a2e-7bc3-11e0-9298-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1MKrtCD00">dollar is in graver danger than the Euro</a>. <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/doug-casey-precious-metals-vs-usd">Doug Casey puts the matter quite succinctly</a>: &#8220;One sure bet is the collapse of the U.S. dollar.&#8221; One near-term interpretation in light of the <a href="http://www.philstockworld.com/2011/04/29/treasury-and-fed-put-out-cash-raising-fist-pumping-crowd-for-ben/">coming cessation of King Ben&#8217;s printing press</a>: &#8220;What happens after June? Poof! It’s gone.&#8221; Even the ever-clueless folks at the <em>New York Times</em> is concerned about the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/01/weekinreview/01fed.html?_r=1">coming collapse of King Ben&#8217;s money-printing playground</a>.</p>
<p>Further signs abound: The industrial economy is in serious trouble. <a href="http://www.mybudget360.com/endgame-credit-card-nation-40-year-credit-card-bull-market-over/">Cats can no longer obtain credit cards</a>. The <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/13/markets/thebuzz/index.htm">bond market is nervous as a lizard on the interstate</a>. The <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/david-galland/the-fall-of-the-u-s-empire">influence of the U.S. extends only as far as its military</a>. And, stunningly, <a href="http://www.ogj.com/index/article-display/1106030368/articles/oil-gas-journal/general-interest-2/government/20100/may-2011/obstacles-beyond_technology.html">oil extraction is limited by availability of carbon dioxide</a> (complexity is expensive).</p>
<p>Europe isn&#8217;t exactly a model of financial maturity, either. Throughout the industrialized world, we set ourselves up for financial disaster when we put money-grubbing juvenile delinquents in charge of the checkbooks. The biggest Ponzi scheme in history was the only outcome we could have expected, had we been paying attention.</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/NOzR3UAyXao" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>A <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/2008-crash-deja-vu-well-relive-it-and-soon-2011-04-26?pagenumber=1">crash reminiscent of 2008 is on the way, but this one will be bigger</a>. Why? Because &#8220;America’s leaders never learn the lessons of history. Never.&#8221; Instead, they purposely distract the willfully ignorant masses. <a href="http://www.alt-market.com/articles/115-circus-clowns-and-sideshow-freaks">How long must we endure this hokey carnival ride before we finally start focusing on legitimately important issues?</a> Actually, it&#8217;s probably too late for that, at least at the level of society. Bring on the next round, <em>American Idol</em>.</p>
<p>As Americans complain about the price of fuel for their personal vehicles, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/us-usa-obama-oil-letter-idUSTRE73P56O20110427?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=topNews&#038;utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+reuters/topNews+%28News+/+US+/+Top+News%29">Barack Obama urges oil producers to increase output</a>. Of course Obama knows about peak oil, which is why <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/8510556/Iraq-MI6-said-invading-Iraq-could-secure-oil-supplies.html">we&#8217;re in Iraq, according to the U.K.&#8217;s MI6</a>, and why Obama will almost certainly <a href="http://www.chris-floyd.com/component/content/article/1-latest-news/2127-yes-they-lied-yes-a-million-died-and-yes-they-want-it-to-go-on.html">never authorize withdrawal from Iraq</a>. It&#8217;s also why he has us <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/mar/30/arming-libya-rebels-america-warned">breaking international law to arm Libyan rebels</a>, and it&#8217;s why he has chosen to <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-says-drill-as-us-gas-prices-surge-2011-5">ease restrictions on oil and gas drilling</a> while opting for <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/here-are-refineries-and-nuclear-power-plants-threatened-if-morganza-spillway-openedshut">oil production over human life as the Mississippi River floods</a>. These choices are based on the reality that high prices at the pump fuel voter discontent with presidential leadership, hence could harm Obama&#8217;s re-election chances. After all, the U.S. system is all about the four-years-at-a-time approach to politics, even if <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2011/02/16/two-nature-paper-join-growing-body-of-evidence-that-human-emissions-fuel-extreme-weather-flooding-that-harm-humans-and-the-environment/">emissions from burning oil destroys our only home one gallon at a time</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s becoming increasingly difficult to deny world oil extraction has peaked, so the Obama administration has employed the timeless strategy used by ostriches throughout history: burying the data by <a href="http://gregor.us/eia/there-goes-the-data-major-cuts-at-eia-washington/?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+Gregorus+%28Gregor.us%29">slashing the budget of the Energy Information Administration</a>. As usual, the populace chooses ignorance over reality, collectively whistling past the graveyard of reality even as reality comes up to take a bite.</p>
<p><iframe width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/TZzzxtG9FcE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><strong>Media alert:</strong></p>
<p>I mentioned my interview with <em>Adbusters</em> as an addendum for a guest essay, and the transcript is linked <a href="http://kickitover.org/2011/04/29/exit-empire">here</a>.</p>
<p>In addition, I am one of a few talking heads featured in <em>College Conspiracy</em>, the video embedded below. My inclusion in this video does not imply my endorsement and, contrary to this messages delivered in the video, I think (1) public education <em>should</em> be funded with taxpayer money, (2) making the college market more &#8220;free&#8221; is a terrible idea, (3) online degrees are lucrative for institutions but usually are worthless for students, (4) stocking up on silver will make you a target, not a wealthy genius, when the industrial economy completes its fall, and (5) the final two minutes are sadly emblematic of much that is wrong with the United States of Advertising. Perhaps I&#8217;m just irritated because they cut my best line: &#8220;Today&#8217;s institutions of higher education are replete with teachers who don&#8217;t want to teach and students who don&#8217;t want to learn.&#8221;</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="349" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/VpZtX32sKVE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>_____________</p>
<p><strong>Update</strong>: My monthly essay for <em>Transition Voice</em> is online today: <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/05/blessings-of-a-dying-paradigm/">Blessings of a dying paradigm</a>. You can read my beyond-the-blog essays <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/guest-commentaries/">here</a>, and interviews are posted <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/interviews/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Partial understanding on planet Easter Island</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/partial-understanding-on-planet-easter-island/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/04/partial-understanding-on-planet-easter-island/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Apr 2011 14:09:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Martenson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Graham Summers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Howard Kunstler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Rubin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Mauldin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john michael greer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Ruppert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicole Foss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1990</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The recent S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. debt is yet another example of a circus sideshow in a nation filled with clowns sleepwalking off a cliff. Ben Bernanke, the master of ceremonies in the most ridiculous show on Earth, has come up with a new scheme to print money, hence plunge a financially bankrupt nation further [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The recent S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. debt is <a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/why-sps-official-statement-is-nothing-but-a-joke/">yet another example of a circus sideshow</a> in a nation filled with clowns <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/8470172/America-appears-to-be-sleepwalking-towards-disaster-does-no-one-care.html">sleepwalking off a cliff</a>. Ben Bernanke, the master of ceremonies in the most ridiculous show on Earth, has come up with a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-19/bernanke-may-reinvest-maturing-debt-to-avoid-cold-turkey-end-to-stimulus.html">new scheme to print money</a>, hence plunge a financially bankrupt nation further into debt (i.e., plunge an <a href="http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175383/tomgram%3A_mccoy_and_reilly%2C_an_empire_of_failed_states/">empire on the edge</a> even <a href="http://www.alt-market.com/articles/103-into-the-economic-abyss">further into the economic abyss</a>). On the other hand, <a href="http://www.econmatters.com/2011/04/fed-must-end-qe2-on-april-27th.html">some adamantly say we&#8217;ve seen the end of quantitative easing, as of this week</a> (i.e., no more printing money from Ben). <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/jim-grant-on-qe3-2011-4">Others say, just as adamantly, we haven&#8217;t</a>. Will the circus stay in town another week? Another year? Stay tuned.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, on the all-important oil front, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/17/us-saudi-oil-idUSTRE73G14020110417?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=topNews&#038;ca=rdt&#038;utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+reuters/topNews+%28News+/+US+/+Top+News%29">Saudi Arabia cuts output</a>, claiming the market is well supplied. I guess the price of oil pushing industrial economies into the abyss indicates adequate supply. Or maybe the kingdom is lying, and their <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/node/4946?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+fso+%28Financial+Sense%29&#038;utm_content=My+Yahoo&#038;utm_term=FSO">fields are in precipitous decline</a>.</p>
<p>Declining oil extraction at the world level and ongoing <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/11/king-ben/">money printing by King Ben</a> are, unsurprisingly, raising the price of oil. In response, Barack Obama is demonstrating the type of leadership I&#8217;ve come to expect from national politicians: <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42699556/ns/politics-decision_2012/">He&#8217;s blaming speculators for the high price of oil</a> while expanding military operations in oil-rich countries (e.g., <a href="http://news.antiwar.com/2011/04/20/analysts-libya-war-could-drag-on-indefinitely/">Libya is the new <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">Iraq</del> quagmire</a>). This failure of leadership should no longer surprise anybody, but it should disappoint everybody who claims to care about human life.</p>
<p>The war to nowhere continues in Afghanistan while the occupation of Iraq, <a href="http://www.commondreams.org/view/2011/04/23-0">intended to allow American access to oil (as I&#8217;ve been writing for years)</a>, continues to strengthen the hand of Iran. The latter country &#8212; the world&#8217;s third-largest oil exporter &#8212; is <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/apr/18/iranian-warns-retaliation-through-spike-price-oil/">threatening to tighten oil supplies, thus driving the price up to $150/barrel</a>. Bombing Libya was intended to alleviate this problem, but <a href="http://www.cnbc.com//id/42655631">Libyan oil is in limbo</a>. Perhaps the <a href="http://www.crudeoilpeak.com/?p=3054">IMF forecast of a 60% increase in the price of crude within a year</a> is right on the mark. If the forecast is even close, the <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/third-times-a-charm/">industrial economy is done within months thereafter</a>. The IMF is joined in the forecasting game by the ever-clueless folks at <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/42683030">CNBC, who foresee $6 gas at the pumps this summer</a> and also by <a href="http://www.johnmauldin.com/frontlinethoughts/the-miracle-of-compound-inflation">John Mauldin, who predicts $8 gas this summer</a> (we&#8217;ll never reach the requisite $180 oil associated with the former forecast and keep the pumps &#8230; well, pumping).</p>
<p>Graham Summers <a href="http://gainspainscapital.com/?p=256">points out</a> the U.S. dollar is falling off a cliff, and he worries &#8220;the Fed will push into a full-scale inflationary collapse within three months.&#8221; While I doubt hyperinflation trumps ongoing deflation that quickly unless <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/china-proposes-cut-two-thirds-its-3-trillion-usd-holdings">China dumps the U.S. dollar as <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">threatened</del> promised</a>, Summers&#8217; argument might explain why the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/why-fed-has-upped-ante-money-pumps-hint-system-crumbling-la-2008-again">Federal Reserve Bank has upped the ante</a> even as the industrial economy hovers on the brink because the Fed has lost control of the monetary system. In addition, hyperinflation is the only governmental solution to overcome the problem of <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/doug-hornig/first-time-in-75-years-handouts-exceeding-taxes">handouts exceeding taxes for the first time in 75 years</a>.</p>
<p>As we continue to trade in tomorrow for today &#8212; that is, as western civilization continues to destroy the living planet &#8212; every energy &#8220;expert&#8221; in the world pines for civilization, thus carelessly wishing for continuation of the ongoing planetary omnicide. This makes as much sense as longing for intelligent design and suspension of the Laws of Thermodynamics, and is equally effective. The times are changing, and we can hope they change rapidly enough to save the final remnants of the living planet that support human life.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xrIPQxrog8M" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>The planetary death wish on the part of energy gurus is one of many examples of partial understanding of the interconnected nature of our predicaments. Other examples abound, even though I&#8217;ll ignore the teeming masses of neoclassical economists who have no clue where are, how we arrived here, or where we&#8217;re headed. <a href="http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/">Jeff Rubin</a>, called by Nicole Foss an economist who doesn&#8217;t understand economics, seems to believe the industrial economy can endure oil priced at $225 with a little attention to relocalization. And he describes how traders can makes tons &#8216;o money in the casino. Foss, a peak oiler who doesn&#8217;t understand peak oil, claimed the price of oil would never exceed $100/barrel after 2008 and predicted the 2-year bull run in the stock markets was done at the 6-month mark. She ties every thread to the ever-falling ball of string that is the housing market and she and her partner at The Automatic Earth continue to insist <a href="http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/2011/04/april-15-2011-our-prosperity-is-owed.html">we&#8217;re headed for oil priced in the low double digits</a>), albeit with <del datetime="2011-04-20T00:01:47+00:00">the industrial economy</del> Disaster As Usual (DAU) continuing for decades. I&#8217;ve no doubt deflation is under way, or that it will take another <a href="http://counterpunch.org/whitney04182011.html">big bite after June if Benny Bucks cease to flood the markets</a>. But it&#8217;s a good bet the shelves turn bare, the fuel runs out, and the water stops coming out the taps when banks and other companies are perceived as financially worthless (instead of <del datetime="2011-04-20T00:01:47+00:00">horrible, life-draining monsters</del> financial bargains).</p>
<p>Other pundits exhibit similar bias toward <del datetime="2011-04-25T01:07:32+00:00">civilization</del> extinction of every species on Earth, including <em>Homo sapiens</em>. <a href="http://www.chrismartenson.com/">Chris Martenson</a> stresses the importance of accumulating and protecting financial wealth, especially his, as he charges $500 per hour to chat with people. The normally sedate Martenson, who indicated it was time to head for the hills a couple months ago, is calling for a <a href="http://www.chrismartenson.com/blog/breakdown-draws-near/56594">big breakdown within a year</a>. Is he just shaking us down for <del datetime="2011-04-19T23:06:36+00:00">cash</del> silver? And, as we head for the hills, should we pack our silver into our bug-out bags? Won&#8217;t owning precious metals make us targets, if only because industrial humans love shiny objects?</p>
<p>Similarly, &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; and his fellow traders at <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/">Zero Hedge</a> are all about making money as the world burns. <a href="http://www.kunstler.com/index.php">James Howard Kunstler</a> longs for walkable cities served by railroads and sailing ships. <a href="http://www.collapsenet.com/">Michael Ruppert</a> is trying to save his own ass, apparently unconcerned about who or what comes in the wake of civilization. The list goes on. And on. The blogosphere is bursting at the seams with people who believe the industrial economy is more important than environmental protection, and that future generations of humans don&#8217;t count as much as the current crop.</p>
<p>Based on reading these fine folks &#8212; much less the mainstream media &#8212; you&#8217;d never know the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-mother-of-all-paradigm-shifts-2011-4">mother of all paradigm shifts was under way</a>. It seems nobody can give up their love for money. Obviously, industrial humans <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-problem-with-humans-2011-4">are poorly suited for this world, much less the one headed our way</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s small wonder the likes of Foss and the gang have as many fans as <a href="http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/">John Michael Greer</a>. One quick way to increase your fan base is predicting DAU to infinity and beyond while claiming it&#8217;s a good thing. Civilized people love planetary destruction, as long as the lights stay on and the municipal water keeps coming out the taps. And especially if there&#8217;s money to be made along the way.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/without-money-wed-all-be-rich.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/without-money-wed-all-be-rich-300x225.jpg" alt="" title="without money we&#039;d all be rich" width="300" height="225" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1997" /></a></p>
<p>___________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked, sans hyperlinks, at <a href="http://countercurrents.org/McPherson260411.htm">Counter Currents</a>.</p>
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		<title>The race is on</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/the-race-is-on/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/the-race-is-on/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Mar 2011 01:16:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones Industrial Average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Everywhere I turn, I read and hear about $200 oil in the near future (here&#8217;s one recent example, from somebody who should know better, here&#8217;s another from hyperinflation guru Gonzalo Lira, and here&#8217;s another from historian Niall Ferguson. Investors are being sucked in, too, and at least one pundit fool has jumped the shark, calling [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everywhere I turn, I read and hear about $200 oil in the near future (<a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/oil-price-set-to-double-if-production-is-cut-off-2226618.html">here&#8217;s one recent example</a>, from somebody who should know better, <a href="http://gonzalolira.blogspot.com/2011/03/handy-guide-to-revolts-in-middle.html">here&#8217;s another from hyperinflation guru Gonzalo Lira</a>, and <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/niall-ferguson-middle-east-democracy-oil-2011-3">here&#8217;s another from historian Niall Ferguson</a>. <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-07/saudi-arabia-s-day-of-rage-lures-record-bets-on-200-oil-chart-of-day.html">Investors are being sucked in</a>, too, and at least one <del datetime="2011-03-04T19:00:31+00:00">pundit</del> fool has jumped the shark, calling for <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/comparing-impact-prior-oil-crises">$350 oil by July of this year</a>. And of course <a href="http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/2011/03/02/only-a-recession-stands-in-the-way-of-200-oil/">Jeff Rubin is still banging this drum</a>). The per-barrel price of crude oil might hit $200. But I doubt we&#8217;ll know about it, since the lights will be out before we get there: Considering the fragility of the industrial economy, I cannot imagine we&#8217;ll have fuel at the filling station, food at the grocery store, or water coming out the taps within a few months of oil hitting the $140 mark.</p>
<p>And we might not break the $120 mark, considering the <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/new-economy/2011/0307/Watch-out-for-a-hard-landing-in-China?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+feeds%2Fcsm+%28Christian+Science+Monitor+|+All+Stories%29">impending hard landing for the Chinese industrial economy</a> (improperly termed a black swan <a href="http://oilprice.com/Finance/Economy/A-Chinese-Black-Swan.html">here</a>) and the associated reduction in demand for crude oil. We might see Dow zero before the per-barrel price of oil hits $140. Whether oil soars or China swoons, the race to the bottom is on, with <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/mike-krieger-why-2011-not-2008-why-it-much-worse-and-dow-gold-parity">2011 looking a lot like an ugly version of 2008 for the industrial economy</a>.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ygZ0xVPX-aA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Even the vaunted killing machine known as the U.S. military, with its <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/christopher-hellman/national-security-budget_b_829676.html">essentially unlimited budget</a> for bodies and technology, cannot maintain the flow of crude oil into the country. <a href="http://oilprice.com/Geo-Politics/North-America/United-States-Confronted-With-a-New-Awareness-of-its-Military-and-Political-Constraints.html">Military and political constraints are slapping the U.S. around already</a>, and we&#8217;ve only begun to fall off the oil-supply cliff. A bunch of those military personnel and contractors are about to find themselves stuck in unfriendly territory without so much as a bicycle or fraudulent passport to aid their escape.</p>
<p>The oil-price trigger on which most folks in the echo-chamber are focusing is turmoil in the Middle East, and the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/saudi-arabia-protests-2011-3">demise of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia</a> certainly could accelerate a price spike. But, as I&#8217;ve <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/third-times-a-charm/">pointed out before</a>, we&#8217;re due for a spike this year even without unrest in the Middle East. That&#8217;s what declining global extraction rates (e.g., <a href="http://www.upstreamonline.com/live/article247264.ece">Iraq</a>) and increasing global demand does to the price, even if our vaunted <a href="http://blackagendareport.com/content/us-prepares-make-its-lunge-libya%E2%80%99s-oil-fields">military manages to conquer Libya for its oil</a>. Even <em>Forbes</em> knows what most media outlets are afraid to reveal: <a href="http://blogs.forbes.com/greatspeculations/2011/03/04/the-truth-behind-saudi-arabias-spare-capacity/">Saudi Arabia, the world&#8217;s largest exporter of oil, has no spare capacity</a>.</p>
<p>Or maybe <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-oil-shock-its-different-this-time-2011-3">this time is different</a>, and a spike in the price of oil won&#8217;t bring the industrial economy to its knees. The ever-clueless cabal of economists at <em>The Economist</em> suggest an <a href="http://www.economist.com/node/18281774">oil shock this year will transform the world economy</a>. I agree about the transformation, though not in the direction they think.</p>
<p>In response to the good news about skyrocketing oil prices, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency finds itself in an uncomfortable position. Seems one of their spooks killed a couple of the wrong people in Pakistan, and subsequently was found with embarrassing documents in his possession. The <a href="http://in.news.yahoo.com/cia-spy-davis-giving-nuclear-bomb-material-al-20110219-224833-452.html">documents indicate</a> we&#8217;re trying to &#8220;ignite an all-out war in order to re-establish the West&#8217;s hegemony over a Global economy that is (sic) warned is just months away from collapse.&#8221; So the best measure we can come up with, in terms of preventing collapse of the world&#8217;s industrial economy, is to provoke global nuclear war? That&#8217;ll almost certainly <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/digitaltrends/20110228/tc_digitaltrends/nuclearwarreverseglobalwarmingnasa_1">slow the warming of the planet</a>, but I&#8217;m still unconvinced it&#8217;s a good idea. Talk about curing the disease by killing the patient.</p>
<p>Although <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/the-west-completely-misjudges-the-situation-in-saudi-arabia-2011-3?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed:+businessinsider+%28Business+Insider%29">western pundits have completely misjudged the situation in Saudi Arabia</a>, a big war hovers even without meltdown of the kingdom. So predicts noted trends forecaster <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/gerald-celente-war-2011-2">Gerald Celente </a>, financier <a href="http://www.moneyweek.com/news-and-charts/economics/global/marc-faber-prepare-for-ww3-10410.aspx">Marc Faber</a>, and former <a href="http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2011/03/former-goldman-sachs-analyst-joins-marc.html">Goldman Sachs technical analyst Charles Nenner</a>. World War III would be quite a sequel to the <a href="http://www.alternet.org/culture/149803/why_our_national_superbowl_tv_party_has_become_the_last_supper_for_the_us_empire/?page=entire">final Super Bowl</a>.</p>
<p>That big war might take American minds off the ongoing global insurrection, which otherwise <a href="http://ampedstatus.org/analysis-of-the-global-insurrection-against-neo-liberal-economic-domination-and-the-coming-american-rebellion-we-are-egypt-revolution-roundup-3/">is coming to the United States, in part because of our capitalism-for-the-poor, socialism-for-the-rich political system</a> (also see <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/why-haven%E2%80%99t-riots-hit-us-yet">this analysis at Zero Hedge</a>). Alas, that&#8217;s one of the many consequences of expensive oil and food, not to mention horrific inequities between the wealthy and the rest of us: riots.</p>
<p>On the other hand, we might not need the war to destroy ourselves. Ongoing nuclear issues <a href="http://www.counterpunch.org/wasserman03112011.html">aren&#8217;t restricted to Japan</a>. Rather, the entire Pacific Rim is vulnerable. This is the stuff of nightmares, and it haunts my waking hours, too: a nuclear event, whether or not it results from war, and the subsequent release of radiation into the atmosphere.</p>
<p>As the industrialized world comes apart at the seams, I&#8217;m about done waiting for people to get it. Increasingly, it&#8217;s becoming a matter of waiting to see it get them.</p>
<p><strong>Next-day update</strong>: Upon request, I submitted a brief essay to <em>Transition Voice</em> yesterday morning regarding the disaster in Japan. It&#8217;s on <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/03/nuclear-nightmares/">their website</a> today.</p>
<p>_________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2011/03/race-is-on.html">Island Breath</a>.</p>
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		<title>C-REALM radio interview</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/c-realm-radio-interview/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/03/c-realm-radio-interview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 23:45:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[community]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[radio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1812</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Late last week I was interviewed by KMO for the C-REALM radio show. The resulting podcast runs about an hour, and it&#8217;s posted here (go directly to podcast here). All comments welcome, all the time. My monthly essay for Transition Voice, barely modified from an earlier essay in this space, was posted here today.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Late last week I was interviewed by KMO for the C-REALM radio show. The resulting podcast runs about an hour, and it&#8217;s posted <a href="http://crealm.libsyn.com/248-courage-compassion-and-creativity">here</a> (go directly to podcast <a href="http://hw.libsyn.com/p/2/7/7/2770d8da77e74a99/2011-03-09T12_58_21-08_00.mp3?sid=5013794ae34f3d589214875fe6962b73&#038;l_sid=19288&#038;l_eid=&#038;l_mid=2477521">here</a>). All comments welcome, all the time.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/GRM-artistic-headshot-from-KMO.php_.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/GRM-artistic-headshot-from-KMO.php_.jpg" alt="" title="GRM artistic headshot from KMO.php" width="90" height="90" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1820" /></a></p>
<p>My monthly essay for <em>Transition Voice</em>, barely modified from an earlier essay in this space, was posted <a href="http://transitionvoice.com/2011/03/extinction-event/">here</a> today.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>96</slash:comments>
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		<title>Demise of the dollar</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/02/demise-of-the-dollar/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/02/demise-of-the-dollar/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Feb 2011 01:38:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hyperinflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Timothy Geithner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1736</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The U.S. dollar continues its journey from Brobdingnagian to Lilliputian stature, and the latest trade report is a prelude to the dollar as microbe. The Prime Mover in this case is King Ben, who has the helicopter on track for a one-way trip to Zimbabwe with every American along for the ride. Death of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. dollar <a href="http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/1/25_Richard_Russell_-_Get_Out_of_Your_Dollar_Assets_Now!.html">continues its journey from Brobdingnagian to Lilliputian stature</a>, and the <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/252503-latest-trade-report-a-prelude-to-the-dollar-collapse?source=mc_market">latest trade report</a> is a prelude to the dollar as microbe. The Prime Mover in this case is King Ben, who has the helicopter on track for a <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-economy-flight-666-our-one-way-ticket-zimbabwe">one-way trip to Zimbabwe</a> with every American along for the ride. Death of the world&#8217;s reserve currency &#8220;<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/mike-grieger-death-globalization-death-currency-and-death-spiral">is irreversible, and it will unleash a cyclone of chaos and confusion that will leave many literally suspended in disbelief as the entire false paradigm most of humanity has lived under for their entire existence is washed away forever</a>.&#8221; It&#8217;s not just a bunch of bloggers and pundits announcing the dollar&#8217;s funeral, either: Even the <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/02/10/markets/dollar/">International Monetary Fund is discussing abandoning the U.S. dollar as the world&#8217;s reserve currency</a>, which portends hyperinflation as surely as Benny and the Inkjets working overtime on the printing presses.</p>
<p>Already, the <a href="http://www.marketskeptics.com/2011/01/what-happens-next-two-forces-crush-us.html">crushing of the consumer sector is under say</a> even as the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-road-madness-paved-100-bills">road to madness is paved with King Ben&#8217;s $100 bills</a>. To his credit, Bernanke finally admitted that <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/only-one-us-bank-not-at-risk-of-failing-and-it-wasnt-goldman-2011-1">nearly every bank in the country almost failed</a> shortly after the price of oil peaked in mid-2008. He failed to mention, however, that such an outcome surely would have terminated western civilization within a month. Imagine Bambi representing the industrial economy.</p>
<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="480" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/9FDXt8arBdw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Meanwhile, Ben and the boys at the Federal Reserve Bank keep launching new ships in the never-ending fleet of Quantitative Easing. QE II was intercepted by Wall Street on its way to Main Street, so QE III is on the way, undoubtedly destined for the same fate. Like a high-speed, head-on collision, QE III will have quite an impact, but only on those immediately involved. The rest of us will be rubber-necking and wondering what happened as we drive by.</p>
<p>Coincident with the <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/us-dollar-major-trouble">death of the U.S. dollar</a>, the industrial economy is <a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/confirmed-were-literally-on-the-brink-of-catastrophic-collapse_01062011">perched on the brink of catastrophic collapse</a>. Or, as I&#8217;ve written before, the <a href="http://www.minyanville.com/dailyfeed/two-charts-illustrate-how-the/">Great Recession never left us</a> and collapse of the industrial economy is <a href="http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article26245.html">already under way</a>. Most people have simply not realized it yet because they haven’t been told by the media or the <a href="http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/three-shocking-events-42694">completely impotent federal government</a>. Many <a href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/47-statistics-that-indicate-that-economic-stress-points-in-2011-could-be-setting-the-stage-for-a-global-economic-meltdown-in-2012/">signs point to 2012</a> as the year the ongoing collapse of the industrial economy reaches its overdue end, although <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/third-times-a-charm/">I&#8217;m not yet giving up on 2011</a>. In short, it&#8217;s <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/paul-mylchreests-must-read-february-thunderroad-report-gresham%E2%80%99s-law-squared-%E2%80%93-gearing-game-">game over for the industrial economy</a>, and soon.</p>
<p>If you prefers charts to texts, <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/what-is-wrong-with-the-u-s-economy-here-are-10-economic-charts-that-will-blow-your-mind">try this set</a> for an abbreviated version of the story. In other words, the Keynesian experiment has nearly run its course, so it&#8217;s <a href="http://tfmetalsreport.blogspot.com/2011/02/preparing-accordingly-ii.html">time to get serious about feeding yourself and your community</a> in the near future.</p>
<p>If you think revolution is restricted to other countries, take a look at the gap between the haves and the have-nots around the world. <a href="http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2011/01/inequality-is-worse-in-america-than-in.html">Inequality is far worse in the U.S. than Egypt, Tunisia, or Yemen</a> (in chart form, the story is <a href="http://motherjones.com/politics/2011/02/income-inequality-in-america-chart-graph">here</a>): The <a href="http://www.alternet.org/economy/149918/9_pictures_that_expose_this_country%27s_obscene_division_of_wealth/">American picture is truly ugly</a>. Ongoing events in Middle Eastern countries, driven by economic factors, are the canaries in the coal mine of global economic collapse, as <a href="http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2011/01/fix-is-off.html">intimated by Dmitry Orlov</a> and further <a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/gerald-celente-europes-next-and-then_02012011">explained by noted trends forecaster Gerald Celente</a>. And if you think we wouldn&#8217;t use force on our own, then you haven&#8217;t checked with the <a href="http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/21/exclusive-police-would-absolutely-carry-out-order-to-clear-wisc-capitol-union-president-tells-raw/">troopers in Wisconsin</a>.</p>
<p>Even as <a href="http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2011/01/americas-arab-puppet-regimes-are.html">Middle Eastern puppets for the U.S. are falling like dominoes</a>, <a href="http://www.lewrockwell.com/rockwell/other-captive-nations171.html">despite continued U.S. support</a>, it becomes increasingly clear <a href="http://blackagendareport.com/?q=content/will-last-mercenary-turn-out-lights-us-empire">Obama will be the president who asks the last mercenary to turn out the lights</a> on American Empire. Collapse is proceeding apace, and even Congressional Representative Ron Paul <a href="http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/11/ron-paulencourages-revolution-conservative-conference/">admits the federal government is in the process of complete failure</a>.</p>
<p>Crude oil underlies the entire industrial mess and <a href="http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/01/cnbc-anchor-implies-support-dictators-cheap-oil/">CNBC admits</a> we need those <del datetime="2011-01-29T01:47:27+00:00">dictators</del> puppets to keep the oil flowing to the U.S. as the <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41538249/ns/us_news-environment/">major domestic source of oil in the U.S. continues to falter</a> and past-peak, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-19/opec-s-december-oil-exports-fall-2-as-shipments-from-saudia-arabia-drop.html">free-falling</a> <a href="http://www.cnbc.com//id/41690671">Saudi Arabia clings by a thin thread</a> (as <a href="http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/21/why_saudi_is_now_in_play">recognized by <em>Foreign Policy</em></a>). When the <a href="http://www.thedailybell.com/1717/Fall-of-Saudi-Arabia-to-End-Dollar-Reserve-System.html">kingdom falls, it could well take the U.S. dollar with it</a>, and quickly. And contrary to statements from our politicians, &#8220;<a href="http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/2011/02/equities-rising-on-rivers-of-blood-.html">we&#8217;re not worried about the rivers of blood &#8212; we&#8217;re worried about the rivers of oil</a>&#8221; coming out of the Middle East. As we&#8217;ve been since the 1970s.</p>
<p>If you think we can pay our way out of this predicament, it&#8217;s time to pony up. If you pay taxes, <a href="http://www.safehaven.com/article/19811/a-tangled-mess-why-oil-mixes-with-gold">you and your family owe more than $1 million</a> en route to saving our monetary system. Small wonder, then, that Tim Geithner foresees <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/248089-u-s-treasury-secretary-admits-u-s-default-is-imminent">imminent default on U.S. debt</a>. Before we get there, Timmy is blackmailing Congress, claiming that failure to raise the debt limit leads to default. But Timmy knows default is right around the corner, either way.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.jeffrubinssmallerworld.com/2011/01/26/how-do-oil-shocks-cause-recessions/">Jeff Rubin explains</a> why oil-price shocks induce recession, and also why there is a lag between the shock and the economic pain. Rubin and an ever-larger choir are joined by <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/jim-rogers-tells-cnbc-change-its-name-commoditesnbc-sees-oil-150-short-nasdaq-etfs">Jim Rogers</a> and financier and author <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/do-i-hear-150-oil-prices-could-go-up-%22very-very-fast%22-says-stephen-leeb-535920.html;_ylt=A0PDkxcLw1VNAS4BDwhk7ot4;_ylu=X3oDMTE3c2pjanI1BHBvcwMxNgRzZWMDYXJ0aWNsZUxpc3QEc2xrA2RvaWhlYXIxNTBvaQ--?tickers=xom,xle,cop,oil,uso,bp,oih">Stephen Leeb</a> in the expanding club forecasting oil priced at $150 per barrel in the near term (and <a href="http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&#038;aid=23280">Global Research has joined the party</a>, too). That&#8217;s what happens when the <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/james-j-puplava/peak-oil-chronicles-when-giants-run-dry">giant oil fields run dry</a>.</p>
<p>Lest you run out and buy oil futures, bear in mind the other potential outcome to this globalized world: <a href="http://www.moneyweek.com/news-and-charts/people-in-the-news/guru-watch/jim-chandos-on-the-china-bubble-10610">China&#8217;s economic bubble could burst</a> in short order. When it does, only one bubble remains: the human population bubble on Earth.</p>
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		<title>Infallible, unsinkable, inconceivable: a bell curve in three parts</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/infallible-unsinkable-inconceivable-a-bell-curve-in-three-parts/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2011/01/infallible-unsinkable-inconceivable-a-bell-curve-in-three-parts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Feb 2011 03:05:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Easter Island]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossil fuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gardening]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Titanic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1587</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by John Stassek Infallible A sliver of green and fertile earth, far from other lands. Poly- nesians settled long ago, and came to under- stand. Three days of labor, tilling the soil, could feed them- selves all year. Easter Island was paradise. They found a good life here. Time was abundant, since food was so [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by John Stassek</p>
<p><strong>Infallible</strong></p>
<p>A<br />
sliver<br />
of green<br />
and fertile<br />
earth, far from<br />
other lands.  Poly-<br />
nesians settled long<br />
ago, and came to under-<br />
stand.  Three days of labor,<br />
tilling the soil, could feed them-<br />
selves all year.  Easter Island was<br />
paradise.  They found a good life here.</p>
<p>Time was abundant, since food was so easy,<br />
to grow in the rich fertile soil.  Idle minds couldn’t<br />
be controlled, thought the leaders, royal.  Something was<br />
needed to occupy and otherwise engage, by sweat.  Good<br />
stone was there, to offer the gods; all their requirements met.</p>
<p>Statues were carved, fierce images in stone, most weighing dozens of<br />
tons.  Trees by the thousands were cut for roads; down to the coast they run.<br />
Infallible gods watch as the clans compete:  Who will the winner be?  Thousands<br />
more fell, for levers and rolls, to move those blocks down to the sea.</p>
<p>The work went on, for years and years, till finally there was only one tree.  Soil<br />
depleted by overuse; no trees meant the rain could run free.  Obsession<br />
continued, all was neglected, faster and faster they hauled.  Food became<br />
scarce, their hunger burned as they watched the last tree fall.</p>
<p>Oh, my god!  What have we done?  How come we never<br />
knew?  I must be asleep.  This must be a dream.<br />
There’s no way that this can be true.  We<br />
trusted those people, and thought<br />
they knew best.  And no<br />
one disputed their<br />
view.  My family!<br />
My kids!  I can’t<br />
let them die!<br />
But what<br />
am I going<br />
to do?</p>
<p><strong>Unsinkable</strong></p>
<p>She<br />
was the<br />
most luxurious<br />
ship that ever sailed,<br />
a testament to man’s imagination.<br />
Water-tight compartments, she could<br />
not sink; appointments that met high expectations.<br />
Fifty two thousand tons, built by the best of Belfast.<br />
Her master, Captain, E. J. Smith, had experience deep and vast.</p>
<p>Sailed from Southampton, on April Tenth, Nineteen Twelve, AD.  More<br />
passengers boarded, at Cherbourg and Queenstown; then Titanic steamed out to sea.<br />
On the eve of the fifteenth, she was making good time, on a moonless night, calm and cold.  She’d arrive in New York, much sooner than thought, for the White Star Lines worth more than gold.</p>
<p>Just past eleven, the lookouts were perched, high above the deck.  Iceberg warnings had come and gone; her speed hadn’t been held in check.  Binoculars forgotten, just one of those things, as they tried hard to see in starlight.  At eleven-forty, a dark mass ahead; they’d failed in<br />
their duty that night.</p>
<p>The watch-crew tried to turn the ship, but her rudder was built much too<br />
small. With twenty life boats stored on deck, too few by half for<br />
all.  Ice opened her keel, the North Atlantic poured in; Captain<br />
Smith awakened from dreaming.  Turned out, the pumps<br />
could have held thru that night, if Ismay hadn’t ordered,<br />
Resume Steaming!</p>
<p>Oh, my god!  What have we done?  How come we never<br />
knew?  I must be asleep.  This must be a dream.<br />
There’s no way that this can be true.  We<br />
trusted those people, and thought<br />
they knew best.  And no<br />
one disputed their<br />
view.  My family!<br />
My kids!  I can’t<br />
let them die!<br />
But what<br />
am I going<br />
to do?</p>
<p><strong>Inconceivable</strong></p>
<p>A<br />
way of<br />
life inconceivable<br />
to those from not long ago.<br />
That it was all taken for granted,<br />
made it seem doubly so.  For thousands<br />
of years, muscle and sweat was the currency<br />
of power.  Then something magical came along,<br />
and all the old ways were scoured.</p>
<p>Those in the late industrial age, those of at least modest means,<br />
could travel at thirty-thousand feet, and eat food from three thousand miles.<br />
Clean fresh water on tap at every temp. from icy cold to hot; central heating and<br />
air, and so much more, common in most domiciles.  Travel was fast and comfortable,<br />
but still thought of as a chore.  The Green Revolution increased food supply by a<br />
hundred-fold or more.  Advances up and down the line in every part of their lives, added to their life spans as their living standards soared.</p>
<p>Few realized all this came from something buried deep below.  Fossil fuels were ancient plants; Sun’s energy made them grow.  Extracted and consumed by fire, this energy released; creating never-ending power, at least that’s how it seemed.  Seventy-six cubic miles of oil, just about the total; when half was gone by two thousand five, loomed the ending to their dream.</p>
<p>Fossil fuels had enabled them to draw-down and deplete, the resources they relied upon for<br />
all their basic needs.  Using these resources, more quickly than they formed, meant each<br />
day two hundred and five thousand more mouths to feed.  Financial systems crumbled as energy supplies fell short.  The climate grew much more severe, reducing earth’s<br />
support.  This gigantic house of cards was built because of closed eyes. The<br />
ending when it finally came caught most of them by surprise.</p>
<p>Oh, my god!  What have we done?  How come we never<br />
knew?  I must be asleep.  This must be a dream.<br />
There’s no way that this can be true.  We<br />
trusted those people, and thought<br />
they knew best.  And no<br />
one disputed their<br />
view.  My family!<br />
My kids!  I can’t<br />
let them die!<br />
But what<br />
am I going<br />
to do?</p>
<p>______________________</p>
<p>John Stassek used to help run his family’s small farm and feed businesses, until they failed in 2009.  He is now semi-retired, driving a school bus part-time.  He enjoys interacting with the kids and finds it’s much less stressful than farming.  He is a member of the Lions Club and is also a member of Transition Van Buren-Allegan, trying to help create transition towns in southwestern Michigan.  He keeps busy by working on his home to make it more energy efficient, gardening, and now, writing poetry.  His librarian wife brought him a copy of  Poetry for Dummies, two pages of which he read before composing this work.  His long term plans are to finish reading the book.  They have two happy and well adjusted children, and a fabulous new daughter-in-law, living on the West Coast in Seattle and Portland.  He lives with his loving and patient wife, Debby, and their spoiled German Shepherd, Annie.</p>
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