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	<title>Guy McPherson&#039;s blog &#187; A presentation with audio and another about bioenergy &#8211; Guy McPherson&#039;s blog</title>
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	<description>Humans have tinkered with the natural world since we appeared on the evolutionary stage. Our days certainly seem numbered: As the home team, Nature bats last.</description>
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		<title>A presentation with audio and another about bioenergy</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/10/a-presentation-with-audio-and-another-about-bioenergy/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/10/a-presentation-with-audio-and-another-about-bioenergy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Oct 2010 17:26:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=1008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Two presentations follow. The first focuses on the twin sides of the fossil fuel coin and what we can do about it, as presented in Louisville, Kentucky earlier this week. It&#8217;s similar to many presentations I&#8217;ve given recently and it includes an audio file, so you can follow along with the slides. The second was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two presentations follow. The first focuses on the twin sides of the fossil fuel coin and what we can do about it, as presented in Louisville, Kentucky earlier this week. It&#8217;s similar to many presentations I&#8217;ve given recently and it includes an audio file, so you can follow along with the slides. The second was presented at <a href="http://ibed2010.com/">International Bioenergy Days 2010</a> in Rockford, Illinois. As usual, the formats are awkward here, requiring you to download the large files as read-only Powerpoint documents. As usual, an email request will result in me sending you the original Powerpoint file(s).</p>
<p>When I discuss mitigation for ecological and economic collapse, I stress the crucial role of human community. And I&#8217;m not the only one: A few students with whom I am working this semester are focusing on how to communicate in community, with full awareness where we are and where we&#8217;re headed. They have developed a <a href="http://howtocommunicateincommunity.blogspot.com/">blog</a>, and I encourage your participation as we struggle to find our way in a world turned inside out.</p>
<p><strong>Louisville, Kentucky public library Tuesday, 28 September 2010</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://metageny.com/peakoil/">Audio file</a> (special thanks to Nate Pederson for recording and archiving the presentation &#8212; may he attract the attention of the government as a result)</p>
<p><a href='http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Louisville-for-blog-September-2010.ppt'>Powerpoint</a> (pdf)</p>
<p><strong>International Bioenergy Days 2010 presentation Monday, 27 September 2010</strong></p>
<p><a href='http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/IBED-for-blog-Rockford-Illinois-September-2010.pdf'>Powerpoint</a> (pdf)</p>
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		<slash:comments>31</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Typical presentation</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/09/typical-presentation/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/09/typical-presentation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Sep 2010 16:18:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=946</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The pages below are excerpted from the presentation I delivered to the Sixth Annual Gila River Festival in Silver City, New Mexico on Friday, 17 September. Click on one of the seven pages to view it. With apologies for the awkward format, click again to make it large enough to read. As always, questions and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The pages below are excerpted from the presentation I delivered to the Sixth Annual Gila River Festival in Silver City, New Mexico on Friday, 17 September. Click on one of the seven pages to view it. With apologies for the awkward format, click again to make it large enough to read. As always, questions and comments are welcome.</p>
<p>When I present, I divide into bite-sized pieces the slides with considerable text. For example, the first slide below labeled &#8220;Climate chaos&#8221; is presented in six parts, with a bit of text added to each new slide; herein, I include only the final slide in the series.</p>
<p>I rarely use written notes, much less a transcript, so what you see is what I saw when I was delivering the presentation. I was interrupted by several ovations (some standing, but only because I begged) and abundant laughter. When I&#8217;m nervous, I go straight to spontaneous stand-up. Later, I can&#8217;t remember a single humorous line, so every presentation is unique. At this point, I couldn&#8217;t tell you what I said, but apparently some of it was funny. I&#8217;m pretty sure they were laughing with me instead of at me, but one can never be certain.</p>
<p>I visited with several people after the presentation. They liked it, of course, or they wouldn&#8217;t have stayed to visit. Reaction generally (very generally) varied with age. However, all age groups failed to recognize we&#8217;re already in the midst of economic collapse, that we&#8217;ve been here for at least a decade, or that the collapse would be complete soon. Similarly, all age groups failed to appreciate the moral imperative with how we live our lives. Many youngsters from the Aldo Leopold High School were present, and they invariably went to the bargaining phase: I can still have <em>my</em> cell phone, right? People older than me typically went to denial: I&#8217;m glad I&#8217;m old, so none of this will impact my life. People between those groups expressed appreciation for the human community in this area and disdain for politicians, local through national, for failing to deal with either side of the fossil-fuel coin.</p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_1.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_1-231x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_1" width="231" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-952" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_2.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_2-232x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_2" width="232" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-954" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_3.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_3-231x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_3" width="231" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-955" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_4.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_4-231x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_4" width="231" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-956" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_5.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_5-231x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_5" width="231" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-957" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_6.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_6-231x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_6" width="231" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-958" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_7.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Guy-McPherson-at-Gila-River-Festival-September-2010_Page_7-230x300.jpg" alt="" title="Guy McPherson at Gila River Festival September 2010_Page_7" width="230" height="300" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-959" /></a></p>
<p>_________________________</p>
<p>A pdf version of the Powerpoint file is archived <a href="http://ia360702.us.archive.org/16/items/GuyMcphersonGila/guy_mcpherson_gila.pdf">here</a>, courtesy of Keith Farnish. Thanks, Keith!</p>
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		<title>Muddling along</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/08/muddling-along/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/08/muddling-along/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Aug 2010 21:41:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buddhism]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=786</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After a woefully inept introduction, this essay forces me to stare into the abyss of planet-destroying myth. If you believe we&#8217;re headed for a muddle-through future in which we correct massive ecological overshoot with the tranquility of Buddhist monks, this is the essay you&#8217;ve been waiting to read. Come on along, if you dare, keeping [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After a woefully inept introduction, this essay forces me to stare into the abyss of planet-destroying myth. If you believe we&#8217;re headed for a muddle-through future in which we correct massive ecological overshoot with the tranquility of Buddhist monks, this is the essay you&#8217;ve been waiting to read. Come on along, if you dare, keeping these barely modified lyrics in mind: &#8220;Clowns to the left of me, Jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the muddle with you.&#8221;</p>
<p>It is easy for me to write about philosophy, conservation biology, education, global climate change, ecological collapse, economic collapse, and how to deal with all of them on a personal basis. These phenomena are pieces of ongoing reality. Facing up to them is difficult at times (as demonstrated clearly by my angst <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/08/whack/">here</a>) but, as Thomas Hardy pointed out, &#8220;If way to the better there be, it exacts a full look at the worst.&#8221; Indeed, better days lie ahead when we stop destroying every aspect of the living planet and start living as if we are a part of nature (cf. apart from nature).</p>
<p>Unlike the ease of my usual essays, this essay has been quite challenging to write. It responds to my email in-box, and the half-measures people can take to mitigate their misery during the completion of the ongoing economic collapse (while ignoring the moral imperative of living close to our neighbors and close to the land that supports us). I don&#8217;t believe in <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/09/balance-is-for-buddhists/">half-measures</a>. Yet, as I visited San Diego and Tucson and their wide array of cultural exhibits and restaurants &#8212; where a  large amount of amazingly good food can be had in exchange for the equivalent of an hour or two at minimum wage &#8212; I was forced to face my greatest fear about the future: the industrial era will persist long enough to allow industrial humans to destroy the very elements of the living planet that allow our continued existence as a species. According to this view, fossil fuels will become less and less available, but the reduction will be so gradual we will barely notice our increasing poverty (cf. <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/06/the-agenda-revisited/">this essay</a>).</p>
<p>So, for the good people of Tucson, and for Angela-from-my-inbox and others like her in San Diego, I ask you to join me as I stare into the abyss. I&#8217;ll tackle the issues we face in my usual order: water, food, body temperature, and community.</p>
<p>Water is fundamental to human survival, so the greatest challenge we face is retaining potable water supplies. In the absence of municipal water coming through the taps, you will need to find another source of water and you will need to make it potable. Harvesting rainwater is barrels is easy enough, but you&#8217;ll have to reduce your consumption considerably (of water and nearly everything else). Fortunately, the issue of potability is resolved with relative ease. Water can be pasteurized with the power of the sun and, with a little more energy, can be boiled. Search the web using the phrase &#8220;pasteurize water&#8221; for a few quick tricks. You&#8217;ll want to invest in simple, inexpensive infrastructure while you still can.</p>
<p>For those of us who eat, food is another important consideration. Even if you believe we&#8217;re headed for third-world status, instead of the inability to buy food with fiat currency at the grocery store, you have to recognize what this means: limited selection and massive shortages. You&#8217;ll want to stock up on essentials while food is still inexpensive. And I strongly suggest figuring out how to grow, trap, shoot, prepare, and preserve a significant portion of your own food. You&#8217;ll want a rifle, and perhaps some traps, and the ability to use them. If all else fails, perhaps you can start making human jerky. </p>
<p>WordPress really needs a sarcasm tag.</p>
<p>Maintaining body temperature will be far more challenging in Fairbanks than Belize, which is why I recommend the latter as a place to live. But if you&#8217;re profoundly committed to your current residence, please invest in various elements of durability while they&#8217;re financially inexpensive: a metal roof and abundant insulation will go a long way toward keeping the rain at bay and also keeping your body at 98.6 F. Buy some blankets for you and the unprepared people with whom you&#8217;ll be bartering. Ditto for large garbage bags, which passably serve as raingear. The opportunities in this category are essentially limitless, and I&#8217;ve described a few of them <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/03/what-works-98-6-degrees/">here</a>. Feel free to add your own in the comments section below.</p>
<p>A decent human community is probably less important in a world characterized by &#8220;muddling through&#8221; than in the future I foresee. After all, cheap fossil fuels have allowed us to develop comprehensive online communities instead of real ones. Still, I value communities for reason beyond survival, as I try to make clear <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/what-works-community/">here</a>: &#8220;At some point, we simply lost track of the importance of communities, human and otherwise. Along the way to becoming a nation of multitasking, Twittering, Facebook &#8216;friends&#8217; we abandoned the ability to connect meaningfully, viscerally, individually. If we are to thrive during the post-carbon era, we&#8217;ll need to create groups of straight-talking, look-&#8217;em-in-the-eye, mean-what-you-say, say-what-you-mean, self-reliant, individuals who are not afraid to ask for help from the neighbors and who, when asked, readily offer assistance.&#8221;</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re committed to your human community, you&#8217;ll want to stock up on items certain to be less commonly available in the near future than today. In addition to water (and the ability to purify it), food (and the seeds to grow more), and the previously mentioned blankets, medicine comes to mind. Two recent essays focus on simple antibiotics, which likely will not seem so simple in the coming years: they are linked <a href="http://www.survivalblog.com/2010/07/a_doctors_thoughts_on_antibiot.html">here</a> and <a href="http://www.survivalblog.com/2009/12/antibiotic_use_in_teotwawki_by.html">here</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not just antibiotics, of course. The possibilities are endless. If you wear glasses, buy several pair. To prevent your prescription from changing, invest in gas-permeable (i.e., &#8220;hard&#8221;) contact lenses and adapt to wearing them. Visit the dentist and get your teeth fixed. Store toothpaste and floss. Take a relevant class or two. And so on, ad nauseum, until you feel comfortable entering a world in which availability of goods and services is limited. And, if that&#8217;s too challenging, get rid of your taboos about marriage and hook up with a medical doctor, a dentist, and a pharmacist. While you&#8217;re at it, you might want to add a marksman, a permaculturist, and a really good shaman.</p>
<p>Above all, you&#8217;ll need the comfort of knowing politicians are acting in the best interests of the people they represent. You&#8217;ll need to convince yourself that the ongoing attempts by Obama and Bernanke (and Bush and Greenspan before them) are working. You&#8217;ll need to convince yourself that plugging every leak in the dam actually takes pressure off the dam, that the dam will not break because of temporary patches. Ultimately, you&#8217;ll have to convince yourself that American empire will last forever, and is not an empire.</p>
<p>Good luck with that.</p>
<p>____________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2010/08/muddling-along.html">Island Breath</a>.<br />
____________</p>
<p>As I move toward conventional essays in this space and away from link-filled commentary, I have been posting many links about global climate change, energy decline, and economic collapse on Facebook, and I often accompany these links with pithy commentary. If you&#8217;d like to follow along and comment, click <a href=" http://www.facebook.com/people/Guy-Mcpherson/1268833217?ref=search">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>The agenda revisited</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/06/the-agenda-revisited/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/06/the-agenda-revisited/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Jun 2010 00:27:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=633</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident. (Arthur Schopenhauer, one of my philosophical heroes) ______________________ Based on recent comments in this space, and also in my email in-box, I am compelled to provide an updated overview of my proposed agenda [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident.</em> (Arthur Schopenhauer, one of my philosophical heroes)</p>
<p>______________________</p>
<p>Based on recent comments in this space, and also in my email in-box, I am compelled to provide an updated overview of my proposed agenda in light of the ongoing collapse of the world&#8217;s industrial economy. There&#8217;s nothing new here, but plenty of people don&#8217;t have the time to read what I&#8217;ve written in the past so, in spasms of foolish ignorance, they keep asking me to stop driving my car (trust me, I&#8217;d love to &#8230; and I go for weeks at a time without doing so) or cease speaking and writing about economic collapse because it is not happening (and, in a related issue, there&#8217;s an invisible man in the sky who loves us and wants us to be happy).</p>
<p>The other primary topic of conversation, real and virtual, begins with &#8220;Okay, but what can I do?&#8221; As if I&#8217;ve ignored that particular question. &#8220;No, but I mean <em>me</em>. Here in Phoenix. With no money and no spare time.&#8221;</p>
<p>Sigh. If you&#8217;re unwilling to change, you&#8217;ll simply have to let change happen to you. And Bill Clinton was correct about this issue: People like change in general, but not in particular. Nobody who is unwilling to change is liable to appreciate the change headed their way.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re willing to change, perhaps you&#8217;ll seek ideas and inspiration from sources other than me. Perhaps you&#8217;ll test your courage, creativity, and compassion. You&#8217;re going to need those attributes soon enough anyway, so you might as well drag them out now.</p>
<p>I think the ongoing economic collapse is driven by declining energy supply at the world level: We passed the world peak of conventional crude oil in 2005. Considering the <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100611/ap_on_sc/us_sci_oil_in_everything;_ylt=ApGLozOdZpCJ.6l9bCbHr.as0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTFlcGs4aHRyBHBvcwMxMTkEc2VjA2FjY29yZGlvbl9zY2llbmNlBHNsawNib3ljb3R0Ymlnb2k-">primacy of oil to the industrial economy and therefore to our way of living</a>, it&#8217;s no surprise the industrial economy is unraveling. Fortunately, it&#8217;s <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/doomsday-capitalism-virus-is-spreading-2010-06-15">taking disaster capitalism with it</a>, albeit far too slowly to suit me.</p>
<p>My hope, of course, is completion of the economic collapse in time to save the remaining fragments of the world&#8217;s biological diversity and perhaps even habitat for our own species. Call me a dreamer. Recognizing that it&#8217;s generally a <a href="http://howtosavetheworld.ca/2010/06/15/this-is-why-were-here/">waste of time to try to convince people</a> we&#8217;re headed for economic disaster and therefore environmental nirvana, that, regardless, is my mission.</p>
<p>I have no interest in trying to save civilization, which is irredeemable and omnicidal. But I am interested in extending the lives of the relatively few people in the industrialized world willing to make substantive changes in their lives. Sadly, that leaves out nearly everybody with whom I converse or correspond.</p>
<p>Conservation is irrelevant at this point and, with respect to materials that are too cheap to meter, conservation probably has always been irrelevant. That’s the crux of Jevons&#8217; paradox. Although Jevons&#8217; paradox assumes free markets, and all markets are manipulated, it is not at all clear to me that relaxing the free-market assumption would have a significant influence on the global outcome of energy markets. Furthermore, if you&#8217;re really a believer in free markets and lack of governmental interference in those markets, then oil is the premier example of a global free market.</p>
<p>Many people are concerned we&#8217;ll respond to Jevons&#8217; paradox with hedonism. As if we&#8217;re not already there.</p>
<p>If you think individual conservation efforts scale up to society, consider an incomplete but still stunning overview of the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/1-million-barrels-of-oil-2010-6">statistics on energy use</a>. For example, the energy in a million barrels of crude oil &#8212; the amount gushing in the Gulf of Mexico every ten days or so &#8212; will supply your house with power for the next 81,000 years or so but will keep cars on U.S. highways for about four hours. So, at some level we&#8217;re all BP (those of you cheering for the industrial economy have company from J.P. Morgan Chase on the BP issue &#8212; the spill and cleanup apparently will <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/06/could_the_bp_oil_spill_increas.html">enhance GDP, at least in the short run</a>). More pragmatically, though, we each bear about as much responsibility for BP&#8217;s incompetence and recklessness as we bear for causing planetary ice to melt, the financial success of Wal-Mart, and the microfauna in belly of the nearest polar bear. As much as the media and politicians would like you to feel responsible and guilty, you should feel neither.</p>
<p>I regularly promote the idea of hastening economic collapse. If you&#8217;re not on board with that idea, but you still see the huge neon signs pointing us in that direction, perhaps you can be convinced to pursue a modicum of self reliance.</p>
<div id="attachment_637" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/digging-shovel-soil-Getty-images.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/digging-shovel-soil-Getty-images-300x192.jpg" alt="" title="digging-shovel-soil Getty images" width="300" height="192" class="size-medium wp-image-637" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo credit: Getty images</p></div>
<p>The notion of self reliance, long discarded in a nation where we enslave others to do our drudgery, is about to make a profound comeback. When the new Dark Age gets under way, people who are willing to do useful things with their hands and minds will be welcome additions in any community. The contemporary idea of American-style independence is, in Orwellian fashion, the exact opposite of independence. To secure our food, water, and body temperature, we have become wholly dependent on a large-scale system (the industrial economy). This is the diametric opposite of self reliance, and it&#8217;s long past time to focus on self reliance within the context of the interdependence of people in communities. We need each other, but we do not need the industrial economy.</p>
<p>How do you provide service to your community? What preparations should you make to thrive during the post-carbon era, and to help your community thrive, too?</p>
<p>I have written at length about the preparations I&#8217;ve made, with a focus on water, food, body temperature, human community, and living a life of service (in this case, four out of five gets you the equivalent of a cake with no flour). Securing these elements has been done by humans for about two million years in the absence of the industrial economy. Only recently have we become dependent on a system that is making us crazy and killing us. I suggest we get out of this system. If that cannot be done in your specific location &#8212; and I&#8217;m thinking about places such as Tucson, Arizona, Las Vegas, Nevada, and Los Angeles, California &#8212; I strongly suggest changing locations. The other obvious alternative is to re-arrange the deck chairs as the cruise ship of empire takes on even more water. There are many approaches to be pursued on this front, including recycling, joining a CSA, riding the bus, and volunteering in the local literacy movement. These are noble causes, but they won&#8217;t save you or your community. And if you don&#8217;t save yourself, you won&#8217;t be able to help anybody else.</p>
<p>People often ask me how they can make the kinds of changes I&#8217;ve made, without actually making those changes themselves. That is, how can they turn their lives upside-down without actually changing a thing? They blame lack of finances (which, as I&#8217;ve pointed out with my own example, can be overcome by joining others in a community-based effort). They blame an unwillingness to leave the apex of empire, the large city they occupy (i.e., they do not agree with my view that industrial economy is inherently immoral). They blame the marauding hordes certain to find them if they get out of the city (i.e., they use any and every excuse to avoid taking action). Comfortable with the immorality of their lives, unwilling to forgo empire in exchange for the difficulty of self reliance, brainwashed by culture to keep pursuing this particular version of culture, they are hopelessly trapped in a hapless situation. Although I recognize the power of culture and the lack of free will for human animals, I&#8217;m beginning to lose sympathy.</p>
<p>Empires don&#8217;t break up, they break down. And American Empire is obviously breaking down, with abundant evidence to be found in the striking absence of any appeal to the common good from governments at any level. There has been no semblance of morality emanating from the fascists running the corporations, and therefore the country, since at least 1980. I don’t expect a vast outpouring of empathy and compassion any time soon. Faux compassion, of course. But the real deal? I hardly think so.</p>
<div id="attachment_636" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/knotted-highway-hock-on-behance-network.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/knotted-highway-hock-on-behance-network-300x203.jpg" alt="" title="knotted highway hock on behance network" width="300" height="203" class="size-medium wp-image-636" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Digital art courtesy of Hock on the Behance Network</p></div>
<p>Although some insist a slow descent is likely, I have yet to understand how that can possibly work. Feel free to fill me in. Do we dim the lights one percent annually so that, in one hundred years, the electricity goes out without our noticing? Do we reduce our extraction of finite materials a few percent each year, even as the human population grows by more than 200,000 people daily, until we simply, peacefully, stop using everything needed to maintain the industrial economy? Do we slowly, painlessly, with no suffering at all, reduce the human population to a viable number? What is that number? A billion? Fewer? </p>
<p>All these outcomes seem quite unlikely to me. I think we&#8217;re so committed to unlimited, exponential growth on a finite planet that we&#8217;ll do whatever it takes to delude ourselves into believing that impossibility. If that means we have to destroy everybody and everything so we can have ice cream and cookies every night, that&#8217;s exactly what we&#8217;ll do. We&#8217;re an industrialized world of overfed clowns and we think others are laughing with us instead of at us. In short, I need somebody to show me another way. I&#8217;m eager to learn how we can prevent unimaginable suffering and catastrophic die-off on a finite planet. Sans miracles, of course.</p>
<p>Looking back, and relying on a plethora of economic metrics, it&#8217;s evident we&#8217;ve experienced a lost decade. So we can trace the economic decay to 2000 or so. It&#8217;s easy enough to can go back further, tracing the imperial decline to 1979 with the Carter doctrine. Or 1956 with the Interstate Highway System. Or the late 1940s with the federal government&#8217;s promotion of suburbia. Or 1789 with the unrelenting thirst for empire at all costs exhibited by the founding fathers. With respect to any of these temporal benchmarks, the decay clearly has accelerated in recent years and months.</p>
<p>From the day I predicted the new Dark Age would begin by the end of 2012, the criticism has been continuous. Most critics, citing no evidence and no understanding of peak oil and its economic consequences, claim we&#8217;ll surely adjust and adapt and generally demonstrate our big-brained brilliance with a long descent into peace, prosperity, and infinite good times. Adding balance in a mainstream media kind of way, the occasional critic optimistically &#8212; without recognizing the optimism &#8212; claims the Dark Age will begin well before 2012. We should be so lucky.</p>
<p>____________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://thegablegrey.blogspot.com/2010/06/coming-dark-age.html?zx=7bd1641aeb62a21">The Gable Grey</a>, <a href="http://countercurrents.org/mcpherson220610.htm">Counter Currents</a>, <a href="http://therebel.org/opinion/money/270045-the-coming-dark-age">Rebel New</a>s, and <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2010/06/self-reliance-agenda-revisited.html">Island Breat</a>h, and it gets a <a href="http://unconventionalideas.wordpress.com/2010/06/20/guy-mcphersons-blog-nature-bats-last/">shout out at Unconventional Ideas</a> and it is <a href="http://www.doomers.us/forum2/index.php/topic,70229.0.html">discussed at the LATOC Forum</a>.</p>
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		<title>What works, maybe: individual options</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/what-works-maybe-individual-options/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/what-works-maybe-individual-options/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Apr 2010 13:23:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agricultural anarchy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilization]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[depression]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossil fuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[greenhouse effect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peak oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[runaway greenhouse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stone age]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[suburbia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survival]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Jefferson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[transition town]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=527</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Like global climate change, peak oil represents a predicament, not a problem. There is no politically viable solution to either of these great challenges. Political solutions require economic growth, forever, and therefore no significant sacrifice on the behalf of the electorate. Further, the industrial economy is underlain by the assumption of growth: The industrial economy [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Like global climate change, peak oil represents a predicament, not a problem. There is no politically viable solution to either of these great challenges. Political solutions require economic growth, forever, and therefore no significant sacrifice on the behalf of the electorate. Further, the industrial economy is underlain by the assumption of growth: The industrial economy grows or it dies.</p>
<p>As should be clear by now, we cannot grow the industrial economy while reducing use of energy. As a result, <a href="http://peakwatch.typepad.com/peak_watch/2010/02/economy-and-climate-no-way-out.html">we cannot grow the economy while reducing greenhouse-gas emissions</a>. Thus, we&#8217;re stuck in a politically untenable situation: To save the living planet, including habitat for our own species, we need to shrink the industrial economy. But the industrial economy requires growth. Recent research indicates <a href="http://www.unews.utah.edu/p/?r=112009-1">we need to shrink the industrial economy to oblivion to save our species</a>. In other words, what we really need is to kill the industrial economy before it kills us. And by us, I mean all of us: the entire collection of wise apes. As a society, clearly <a href="http://www.commondreams.org/view/2010/04/23-4">we have made our choice</a>. But as an individual, you can choose to the contrary, with benefits for your psyche and quite possibly your survival.</p>
<p>Crude oil is the master material, the energy source that provides access to all others. Economic growth requires ever-increasing supplies of crude oil. As availability of oil declines the price goes up (with considerable variability, as we have observed during five years since we passed the world oil peak) and the industrial economy starts to sputter. When the price gets high enough, long enough, the economy simply, finally, expires. The world has been on an undulating plateau of oil availability for several years, but that plateau leads to a cliff. According to the U.S. Department of Energy and the U.S. military&#8217;s Joint Forces Command, the <a href="http://www.countercurrents.org/arguimbau230410.htm">cliff comes in 8 months or so</a>.</p>
<p>I know no energy-literate person who thinks we’ll be able to avoid the post-industrial Stone Age by 2025. Assuming a conservative 4% annual decline rate of crude oil between now and then indicates we will have access to the same amount of oil in 2025 as we did in 1970, when the planet held half as many people as it now does and the world was considerably less industrialized than it now is. And that&#8217;s merely the gross rate of decline, whereas the net rate of decline will be much more rapid because it takes so much energy to extract and deliver energy. Oil priced a $147.27 per barrel nearly brought down the industrial economy five times I know about, and we&#8217;re hardly out of the woods yet. There is little hope for the industrial era to persist more than a few years, and the next spike in the price of oil could very well be the trigger that brings the industrial era to a sudden close in an unprepared nation.</p>
<p>I suspect we&#8217;ll pass through a new Dark Age en route to the post-industrial Stone Age. Indeed, many countries in the world are already there because they lack the world’s reserve currency and the world&#8217;s largest military. Bully for us: We have both, thus ensuring a steady supply of fossil-fuel-driven energy into every city and town in the United States. Well, so far.</p>
<p>As an aside, how long do you think we can maintain a military <em>and</em> a functioning industrial economy if we keep spending <a href="http://countercurrents.org/ananda250410.htm">58% of our budget on the former</a>? We could <a href="http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175238/tomgram:_engelhardt,_the_urge_to_stay/">stop our involvement in wars</a>, but that would be quite un-American, wouldn&#8217;t it? </p>
<p>The costs of maintaining the non-negotiable American way of life are huge, even beyond simple economics. The American suburbs are the antithesis of durable living, as they require us to live far from work, far from play, and far from the places we shop for disposable items in our throw-away culture. They require obedience at home and oppression abroad. American Empire is city living (i.e., civilized), writ large.</p>
<p>The relatively few people paying attention to the undercurrents of the industrial economy know the ship is taking on water faster than the governments can run the printing presses. As the industrial economy continues to lurch and stumble, the vaunted American consumer loses the ability to consume (in part because inflation is rampant on items that actually matter, notably including <a href="http://www.marketskeptics.com/2010/04/us-food-inflation-spiraling-out-of.html">food</a>). Because ours is a consumer culture, with personal consumption accounting for 70% of the industrial economy, the ship is listing. The next financial crisis is <a href="http://pragcap.com/jim-rogers-the-next-crisis-is-already-unfolding">already unfolding</a> &#8212; notwithstanding absurd reports from politicians, media, and the <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-grantham-this-crazy-market-could-go-roaring-right-back-to-its-old-highs-2010-4">irrational exuberance, again, in the stock markets</a> &#8212; and <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Economy2010/idUSTRE63L55W20100422">governments have nearly exhausted their supply of tools</a> to deal with economic issues. We hit the iceberg of peak oil and, as government administrators busily rearrange the deck chairs, it&#8217;s time to launch the lifeboats, even if you believe consumption is a good thing. Personally, I think it&#8217;s not, in part based on the definition:</p>
<blockquote><p>Consume:</p>
<p>1. To do away with completely; destroy</p>
<p>2a. To spend wastefully; squander<br />
2b. Use up</p>
<p>3. To waste or burn away; perish</p></blockquote>
<p>Consuming gives most people a temporary emotional &#8220;high.&#8221; We’re addicted to shopping. But I trust it&#8217;s clear why rational people want no part of the consumer economy. If we cannot terminate the industrial economy, and soon, we&#8217;ll exhaust all habitat for humans on Earth by the end of this century (and, if the models are to be believed, <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/10/apocalypse-or-extinction/">much sooner</a>). Along the way, if we have our way, we&#8217;ll destroy every non-industrial culture and every non-human species.</p>
<p>In the face of a contracting industrial economy and the knowledge we&#8217;re headed for a situation with extremely limited access to fossil fuels, a quote from Peter Drucker comes to mind: &#8220;You can either take action, or you can hang back and hope for a miracle. Miracles are great, but they are so unpredictable.&#8221;</p>
<p>What’s an individual to do, in light of the imminent collapse of western civilization? In addition to hastening the collapse, some tools for which I&#8217;ve <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/12/terminating-the-industrial-economy-a-ten-step-plan/">listed before</a>, I describe four points along a continuum for your own, individual, post-carbon future: (1) transition towns, (2) agricultural anarchy, (3) hunting and gathering, and (4) traveling. I will describe each approach, briefly, as a means of generating thought, action, and perhaps even discussion.</p>
<p><a href="www.transitionculture.org"><strong>Transition towns</strong></a> allow us the fantasy of keeping the current omnicidal culture going, albeit in slightly different form. This model assumes a long descent that allows time for cities to develop alternative energy sources. Think solar on every rooftop, for starters, and gardens in every suburban lot. For this approach to work, though, the food shed must be sufficiently nearby and sufficiently productive to support all the people in the transition town. This seems hugely problematic in sprawling western cities, especially those with more than a few thousand people. And for areas with limited supplies of water, or water that is several hundred feet below the surface of the ground, it&#8217;s difficult to imagine a scenario that doesn&#8217;t include massive suffering along the way to a huge die-off. The inability to store energy in the absence of fossil fuels beyond a few years in expensive, transient, and toxic batteries is a microscopic problem relative to the absence of ready access to water and food. And there&#8217;s an additional problem with the transition-town notion: I seriously doubt we have access to the fossil fuels needed to create the needed infrastructure for the 250 million city-living Americans, much less the 3.5 billion people who occupy the world&#8217;s cities. Solar panels and batteries simply won&#8217;t make the grade &#8212; there&#8217;s not enough oil left to pull this one off.</p>
<p>When the lights go out in the city, chaos often erupts. Is your city different? If so, will that difference persist when the lights don&#8217;t come back on, ever? I&#8217;ve often said and written that I would give my life to terminate the industrial economy, if only to alleviate the burden of oppression on the living world. I&#8217;ve no doubt, in fact, that I will make this sacrifice. And that&#8217;s okay: My insignificant life pales in contrast to the living planet and the persistence of our species. On the other hand, although I loved city life, my city was not worth dying for. So I left to prepare, recognizing that fortune favors the prepared. In contrast, <a href="http://mikeruppert.blogspot.com/">Michael Ruppert</a> moved to his home city of Los Angeles with full knowledge L.A. would be among the first cities to go up in flames. Ruppert is willing to die for the privilege of comforting the afflicted there.</p>
<p><strong>Agricultural anarchy</strong> was offered as a model by Thomas Jefferson, and Monticello was the prime example before it became a museum. Contemporary examples are found in nearly every &#8220;third-world&#8221; country. A large proportion of the towns and cities in Central America and South America never have had ready access to abundant fossil fuels. As a result, communities have communal water sources and people dig shallow wells and harvest rain from rooftops. On a daily basis, local markets are filled with fresh food brought from nearby gardens and farms. The power goes out frequently, and nobody seems to mind because the towns and cities are actually located in livable areas in the absence of fossil fuels to heat or cool every building (cf. Tucson, Arizona). In short, agriculture has always been, and still is, at the center of everyday life.</p>
<p><strong>Hunting and gathering</strong> will doubtless make a comeback for a very few hardy, quick-witted folks. This model resembles the prior Stone Age, and clearly is the most durable approach. It worked for the first 2 million years of the human experience, and we fled from it as recently as a few thousand years ago. But if you can&#8217;t find a tribe to go along, you&#8217;ll be as lonely as a Saguaro cactus on an ice floe.</p>
<p>Finally, individuals can largely avoid the ravages of collapse by <strong>traveling</strong> from spot to spot. History has been kind to travelers because people rooted in a particular place hunger for knowledge. If you’re to pursue this route, you&#8217;ll need to be quick-witted, good-humored, and willing to lend a hand when needed. Also, you&#8217;ll need to recognize and avoid danger. Traveling will be terrifying, but no worse than staying in one location. And you&#8217;ll get to see the world and live an adventure-filled life, just as promised by U.S. military recruiters.</p>
<p>None of these options offer a life similar to the one you&#8217;ve known. But a different life doesn&#8217;t mean a worse life, especially if you give a rat&#8217;s backside about anybody besides yourself. There will be plenty of opportunities to serve your community, as there has always been, in the months and years ahead. We&#8217;ll be living closer to our neighbors and closer to the living planet that sustains us all. For those courageous, compassionate, and creative souls willing to live in the world rather than in a cubicle, life&#8217;s about to get even more interesting. For the vast majority of industrial Americans, though, life is about to become miserable and surprisingly short.</p>
<p>_______________</p>
<p>This essay was inspired by a <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/surveying-the-field-and-charting-a-course/#comment-3572">comment from Danielle Charbonneau</a>. It is permalinked at <a href="http://countercurrents.org/mcpherson260410.htm">Counter Currents</a>, <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2010/04/what-works-maybe.html">Island Breath</a>, and <a href="http://www.aclimateforchange.org/profiles/blogs/what-works-maybe-individual">A Climate for Change</a>.</p>
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		<title>What works: community</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/what-works-community/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/04/what-works-community/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 15:18:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aristotle]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dan Allen]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extinction]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[gardening]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nietzsche]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Plato]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[suburbia]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=483</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As we continue into the decades-old, but only recently acknowledged era of destruction and extinction, it’s apparent the current model is not working. Truth has fallen and taken liberty with it. A vast majority of Americans are aware the industrial economy clings by the barest of threads but, too fearful of individual retribution to disrupt [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As we continue into the decades-old, but only recently acknowledged <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/geology/7528264/Earth-entering-new-age-of-geological-time.html">era of destruction and extinction</a>, it’s apparent the current model is not working. <a href="http://www.counterpunch.org/roberts03242010.html">Truth has fallen and taken liberty with it</a>. A <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/79-percent-of-american-voters-say-they-think-the-u-s-economy-could-collapse-and-they-are-absolutely-right">vast majority of Americans are aware the industrial economy clings by the barest of threads</a> but, <a href="http://blogs.alternet.org/grantlawrence/2010/03/27/us-marine-i-will-fight-american-civilians/">too fearful of individual retribution</a> to disrupt the industrial culture that is making us crazy and killing us, we hang tightly to the only system we’ve ever known. Pathetically reluctant to consider what lies beyond the omnicidal industrial machine, we cling to a system that has failed to nurture the living planet, human individuals, or human communities.</p>
<p>At some point, we simply lost track of the importance of communities, human and otherwise. Along the way to becoming a nation of multitasking, Twittering, Facebook &#8220;friends&#8221; we abandoned the ability to connect meaningfully, viscerally, individually. If we are to thrive during the post-carbon era, we&#8217;ll need to create groups of straight-talking, look-&#8217;em-in-the-eye, mean-what-you-say, say-what-you-mean, self-reliant, individuals who are not afraid to ask for help from the neighbors and who, when asked, readily offer assistance.</p>
<p>I know you hate those stories that start with, &#8220;When I was a kid, &#8230;.&#8221; But here goes, regardless. I grew up in a tiny, backwoods, red-neck logging town. By the time I was 18 years old, I&#8217;d seen more bar fights than first-run movies. I knew that when a man was driving home after getting whipped in a bar fight, and the man who beat him up drove drunkenly into a ditch on the way home, the guy who got pummeled had no choice but to stop and give a hand to the guy who whipped him. If the whippee didn&#8217;t stop to help, and anybody in town found out, he&#8217;d be better off driving to the next state than hanging around. Helping neighbors in need was not optional. The benighted community of my youth was a worthless pile of crap. But to me and my neighbors, it was <em>our</em> worthless pile of crap, and an outsider who threatened people in our town would have been better off bobbing for apples in a bucket of piranhas. The people who lived in that town, like the ones who still live there, are shoulder-to-the-wheel, down-to-earth folks who care about their community. </p>
<p>For a diametrically opposed perspective, see contemporary suburbia. Our self-proclaimed independence is a bad joke made possible only by cheap energy. As we leave cheap energy in our wake, it becomes increasingly clear the joke&#8217;s on us.</p>
<p>As <a href="http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2010/01/real-communities-are-self-organizing.html">Dmitry Orlov points out</a> with his usual brilliant wit, communities arise organically. Despite the multi-million dollar efforts of countless scientists at <a href="http://www.b2science.org/">Biosphere II</a>, for example, the resulting collection of communities is a pale and pathetic imitation of the naturally occurring ecosystems they are designed to replicate. As with ecological communities, we know little about human communities and what makes them “work.” Nonetheless, we fill tomes about both kinds of communities. Along the way, a few people, including the always-thoughtful <a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/52210">Dan Allen</a>, think before they write. How refreshing is that?</p>
<p>Were I still a self-respecting, objective scientist reluctant to express an opinion or make a forecast, I’d stop with those two endorsements wrapped around a nod to ignorance. Actually, I would proceed to write a grant proposal explaining how I would overcome our collective ignorance for a few hundred grand and 50% overhead. Instead of taking either rational route, it’s onward, through the fog.</p>
<p>Although communities are self-organizing, we are able to nurture them and therefore influence species composition. We can plant trees and pull weeds. We can add water and compost. In fact, we do all these things, and we call the result a garden. As I’ve pointed out in prior posts, scale matters: I’m a huge fan of gardens, for reasons that run from healthy food to healthy psyches, but I detest farms. The former characterize Eden, the latter civilization.</p>
<p>As with ecological communities, I think we can and should nurture our human communities, recognizing and encouraging positive elements and weeding out negative ones. We may not be capable of building communities, but we can work with the ones we’ve got to the betterment of individuals who contribute to the common good. And, as with ecological communities, our ability to nurture human communities will vary. Every community is unique, and will require a unique set of approaches. </p>
<p>Too corny? Maybe. But I’m in the fine company of Plato, Aristotle, and Dan Allen, so I’ll run with it. </p>
<p>As I’ve indicated previously, as recently as my <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/03/what-works-98-6-degrees/">latest post</a>, location is everything. Try nurturing community in the suburban wasteland filling most American cities, and you’ll run smack into the horrifically omnivorous maw of culture. If the most visible portion of every house is the garage, good luck organizing the neighbors into building community gardens fed by harvested rainwater and humanure. If it works in the short run, be sure to keep tabs on all the unprepared, self-indulgent free riders you’ll need to feed and water in the longer run.</p>
<p>I was, and am, quite concerned about my late arrival to the region surrounding the mud hut. As I’ve indicated before, I am quite fortunate to have found a like-minded couple of people who were willing to share their property. Financially, my wife and I could not have pulled this off ourselves. In addition, it would have been unwise from an interpersonal perspective. But our partners have lived in this area for nearly a decade, and they’ve worked hard during that time to develop strong relations with the neighbors. At some level, we’re the free riders I warned about in the previous paragraph. At another level, though, we came to the community with a strong endorsement and a built-in set of human ties.</p>
<p>Thus, my first recommendation: Community starts at home. If you can find somebody who is willing to take you in, I propose pooling resources. Given the increasing poverty in a nation addicted to the stock markets, this counter-cultural notion &#8212; which goes against the American cultural ideal of “independence” &#8212; is starting to make a lot of sense. I suspect we&#8217;ll see a lot more collaboration and a lot less ego-laden, look-at-me-and-my-mansion competition in the years ahead.</p>
<p>After establishing a home-based beachhead, the remainder involves common sense and little else. This ain’t rocket surgery, after all. Make yourself valuable by finding a niche. Provide a service, or set of services, integral to the daily lives of your neighbors. What do they do?</p>
<p>They drink water. So find a way to extract, purify, and deliver water when municipal power is no longer available.</p>
<p>They eat. So find a way to produce healthy food at a smaller scale than the big-box grocery store. Grow chickens, ducks, and goats. Make yogurt, butter, and cheese. And then develop a means of preparing the food without fossil fuels. Think drying racks, sun ovens, and firewood.</p>
<p>They wear clothes. So stock up on needles and strong thread, and sell your skills as a tailor, or even a mender.</p>
<p>They sleep. Make ’em blankets. Or, if you have the requisite skills, beds and other furniture.</p>
<p>Can you care for animals, including human animals? They have tender psyches and bodies that were not designed for the rigors to which they’re about to be subjected. They need therapy, just like the rest of us, and they’ll soon need a lot more. Can you provide it, at a finer scale than the current model, and for barter? Are you a medical herbalist? Can you become one?</p>
<p>They need respite from the drudgery of labor. Already, <a href="http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x8m5d0_everything-is-amazing-and-nobody-i_fun">everything is amazing and nobody is happy</a>. Imagine what our lives will be like when we can’t take our annual summer driving vacation, much less the once-in-a-lifetime trip to Europe or the Caribbean. Can you spin a yarn or play a tune? I recommend traveling minstrel as an occupation about to make a serious comeback.</p>
<p>They want educated people, and some of them want educated children. If you can write a coherent paragraph and perform long division, you’ll be in constant demand in a world without hand calculators. If you can teach children to perform these miracles, get set to launch your career as a post-carbon teacher.</p>
<p>They have sex. Never mind the world&#8217;s oldest profession: The potential for midwives and childcare should be obvious.</p>
<p>I could go on, but the point should be clear by now. As we leave the Age of Entitlement and transition into the Age of Consequences, everybody will need to make a contribution to their community. Those who are unwilling or unable to make a contribution will not be welcome. If you value living in a particular place, think about tight-knit Stone Age communities or contemporary Amish communities. The worst possible fate for an individual is to be shunned, because that means you’ll need to find your own way in a large, unknown world.</p>
<p>So, what about me, and my adopted community? What specific steps have I taken, along with my partners at this property?</p>
<p>We barter, and we’re ratcheting up the barter at every opportunity. These efforts are welcome in a valley filled with self-reliant, life-loving economic doomers. We provide plenty of eggs (chicken and duck) and milk, and in return we have received various kinds of food (fruits, vegetables, and the most wondrous imaginable bread), heirloom seeds and bulbs, a large iron triangle for announcing dinner is ready at the outdoor kitchen, a full clean-and-trim job on our goats’ hooves, and other goods and services too numerous to list (and, in my case, too varied and numerous to remember).</p>
<p>On the personal front, I am working hard to befriend members of my community. I’ve joined an effort to reintroduce river otters into the nearby river, and worked shoulder-to-shoulder on constructing government-mandated otter pods for their release (the pods are large boxes built from plywood and construction lumber). I join a gang of locals at the nearest café for coffee every Tuesday morning (and I don’t drink coffee). I substitute teach at the local K-12 school (“today we&#8217;re learning about entropy”). I partake of potlucks and dance parties, as well as more formal annual events such as craft fairs. I’m extremely introverted, so each of these social gatherings is painful. As Nietzsche pointed out, what doesn’t kill me makes me stronger. Perhaps it’ll make my community stronger, too.</p>
<p>In the not-so-distant future, we intend to provide a much broader array of services to our community. We can extract water from the ground via solar pump and hand pump. In addition to the daily overload of eggs and milk, we’re making and aging plenty of hard cheeses. We’ve stored some luxurious food and drink that will age well (and I don’t even drink alcohol). We can grind grains. We have the capacity to cook food via sun oven, Earth oven (orno), and wood-fired cook stove. We have solar-powered electricity and an assortment of power tools to aid with minor construction projects. This entire infrastructure is designed not merely for our survival, but also for the survival of others in our community. We thrive when our community thrives. We suffer when our community suffers.</p>
<p>I’m certain I’m missing many things. But any number can play, so please help me out. What can we stock for barter? What’s small, inexpensive, and easy to store, yet useful? What other skills should we learn in anticipation of a contracting economy and therefore an enlarging world? What other services can we provide, within the constraints of a small piece of land and little remaining money?</p>
<p>And what about you? How are you preparing for a life of service in the Age of Consequences?</p>
<p>__________________</p>
<p>This essay is permalinked at <a href="http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2010/04/what-works-community.html">Island Breath</a>, <a href="http://www.sustainabletucson.org/2010/04/what-works-community/">Sustainable Tucson</a>, and <a href="http://energybulletin.net/52276">Energy Bulletin</a> (with photos and minor editing).</p>
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		<title>Throwing off the shackles of debt</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/03/throwing-off-the-shackles-of-debt/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/03/throwing-off-the-shackles-of-debt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Mar 2010 07:01:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[economic depression]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[loan]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=403</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Guy R. McPherson, Keith Farnish, Dave Pollard, and Sharon Astyk Indebtedness is a form of servitude, usually involuntary, and, in extreme cases imprisonment. Consider, for example, current rates of interest, usurious compared to what savers earn on their savings in the same banks that charge that interest. Many religious organizations loath interest rates as [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/">Guy R. McPherson</a>, <a href="http://thesietch.org/mysietch/keith/">Keith Farnish</a>, <a href="http://howtosavetheworld.ca/">Dave Pollard</a>, and <a href="http://sharonastyk.com/">Sharon Astyk</a></p>
<p>Indebtedness is a form of servitude, usually involuntary, and, in extreme cases imprisonment. Consider, for example, current rates of interest, usurious compared to what savers earn on their savings in the same banks that charge that interest. Many religious organizations loath interest rates as immoral and criminal. According to all four gospels in the Christian bible, even the normally passive, peaceful prophet of Christianity got so worked up about usury in a temple he started acting like Bobby Knight on the sidelines of a basketball game.</p>
<p>Purchases by consumers (this awful word is used here only because that’s what we have become &#8212; involuntarily) drive the world’s industrial economy. And purchases by consumers depend on the confidence of those consumers, so that consumer confidence underlies commercial success. If a potential consumer has no confidence in his ability to purchase an item, then he won’t. If enough potential consumers lose confidence in their abilities to purchase and pay for any particular item, the sales of that item will plummet, causing the manufacturer and sellers of that item to fail.</p>
<p>Considering the current financial situation, which will no doubt crash again within the next year, we can help create a situation that will both change behavior for the better and prevent people from getting into financial trouble. The latter portion is vital to getting wide support, and will be a huge challenge for hopelessly optimistic, reality-challenged members of the industrial economy.</p>
<p>How do we convince people they definitely cannot afford to take out loans to buy things? More impact will be realized by targeting luxuries such as houses, cars, and appliances than small “goods.” The Obama administration recognizes this, and has therefore rewarded people for purchasing houses, cars, and &#8212; most recently – appliances, by giving them huge financial incentives (i.e., taxes on other Americans who might not even be tempted to play the “consumer” game).</p>
<p>Loans are required for most people to purchase these “durable goods” (which are no longer durable or good). Loans traditionally are seen as safety nets, but it has become clear they really represent <em>traps</em>. Never mind the psychological or ecological implications of consumerism &#8212; there exists no evidence suggests anybody has minded so far &#8212; the focus here is on the trap into which each potential consumer falls by taking out a loan to mindlessly invest in transient baubles. Every loan is a bad deal for the borrower, although credit cards represent the <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-credit-card-trap-how-u-s-credit-card-companies-are-sucking-the-financial-life-out-of-the-american-consumer">largest trap</a> (<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/new-credit-card-rules-start-monday-but-you-can-still-get-screwed-2010-2">even with the new rules</a>).</p>
<p>The system needs you to keep borrowing. If you stop borrowing, then who knows what could happen.</p>
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<p><em>The risk levels described below are approximate and will vary according to your personal situation and the jurisdiction in which you operate. Seek legal advice if you are uncertain.</em></p>
<p><strong>No risk</strong>:</p>
<p>Don’t take out a loan for anything. If you need it &#8212; and probably you don’t &#8212; save your money and buy it, or barter for it.</p>
<p>Encourage others to join you. Start by sharing your car, your garden, your yard, and your lawnmower. Pass stuff on. Give it away. You don&#8217;t need that loan, and neither do the people you care about. <em>Caveat: Sharing leads to liability</em>.</p>
<p>If you already have loans, and most recent students do, then seek deferral under economic hardship. Odds are pretty high you’re actually experiencing economic hardship, so this is no big deal. And even if you’re not, there’s no sense feeding the beast if the beast defaults down the road. <em>Caveat: If you lie about economic hardship, your claim about hardship is legally fraudulent</em>.</p>
<p><strong>Low risk</strong>:</p>
<p>Start a “misinformation” campaign (from the point of view of the loan companies).</p>
<p>1) Via snail mail, send out false press releases from loan companies and banks to media outlets such as local radio stations, local press and even the nationals if you are brave enough. These press releases should discourage people from taking out loans because, after all, people don’t really need all the toys they buy on credit. If you make the “press releases” as complete as possible, and word them so that responses are not required, then there is a good chance they will be run without questions being asked.</p>
<p>2) Do a bit of subvertising, on the internet or (for a little higher risk) on billboards: focus on loans companies and banks changing the messages to emphasise the theft aspect of loans. Alternatively, just remove loan adverts entirely. For more information on techniques, read <a href="http://thesietch.org/mysietch/keith/2010/02/09/monthly-undermining-task-february-2010-time-to-break-the-ads/" target="_blank">this post.</a> </p>
<p>Other potential actions along these same lines include:</p>
<li>Organizing “default-ins” along the lines of the “love-ins” and “sit-ins” of the 1960s, </li>
<li> Devising and publicizing <strong>satiric</strong>, fake get-rich-quick schemes that exploit government mortgage subsidies and the overvaluation of real estate: “Get $1 million in real estate free from Obama mortgage subsidy program with no risk or money down!” or “Sell real-estate short before the crash and make $1 million with no risk or cash!” and </li>
<li>Helping organize and formalize the exploding “gray” market for overpriced real estate: Thousands of people are moving or retiring and unable to sell their homes at anywhere near their mortgages, so they are renting out their homes for a fraction of current market rents, and likewise renting others’ homes in areas to which they are moving at far below market rents. Everyone hopes prices will somehow bounce back and save them from default but a more likely scenario includes these homeowners threatening default to get mortgage companies to write off the excess of mortgage value over real property values. We can prove useful by helping them find “gray” market properties in the interim. </li>
<p>Obvious satirical routines can be developed for a variety of venues. This strategy should hold particular appeal to artists.</p>
<p><strong>Medium risk</strong>:</p>
<p><a href="http://howtosavetheworld.ca/2010/02/12/links-and-tweets-of-the-weekmonth-february-11-2010/">Walk away from your mortgages</a>, as suggested by Dave Pollard: Many Americans are now living in homes with mortgages that are greater than the value of their property. Why would anyone continue to pay a debt that is higher than the asset it secures? After all, big corporations view pulling the plug on unsuccessful ventures and sticking the debtholders and shareholders a key business strategy. The whole idea of “risk capital” is that the interest and other fees you earn for lending to risky borrowers compensates you for the risk, so that if the borrower defaults you accept the loss and chalk it up to experience. Yet for some reason homeowners feel some moral obligation to throw good money endlessly after bad. This of course is exactly what the corporatists, who have no such moral compunction, are counting on, what economists call moral asymmetry. The logical response would be to tell the lender to write off the excess of the mortgage beyond the property value, and refinance the mortgage accordingly. Apparently in some US states (called “recourse” states) this moral asymmetry is institutionalized &#8212; that is, lenders can go after a mortgagee’s personal assets if they default. There is, of course, no recourse when the corporatists walk away from debts, offshore their operations, and stiff the taxpayers whose subsidies and bailouts paid for the corporatists’ ventures.<br />
<br />
Where is the sense of outrage here? Have the education system and media so dumbed down the citizens that they can’t see this scheme for the cruel and criminal con it is? If everyone with a mortgage greater than the value of their home either walked away from it, or was legally empowered to require the excess to be written off as the “bad debt” it is, then of course there would be many bank failures and plunging profits. That&#8217;s how the market system is supposed to work. The lenders, of course, want it both ways, and Obama and the <del datetime="2010-02-26T20:55:31+00:00">citizens</del> consumers seem blithely willing to let them have it.</p>
<p>Walking away from your mortgage entails medium risk because it will damage your credit rating. Obviously, this doesn’t matter in the long term, but it still causes concern for many people. Additional risks vary among states, up to and including loss of assets for every person named on the mortgage.</p>
<p>Via electronic communications, send out false press releases from loan companies to media outlets. These press releases would discourage people from taking out loans because, after all, citizens don’t really need all the toys they buy on credit. This scheme requires technical expertise: The instigator will hide behind an alter-ego and fake domain.</p>
<p><strong>High risk</strong>:</p>
<p>Taking a step beyond abandoning your underwater mortgage, don’t pay off your mortgage even if you’re not underwater. Simply default but continue to occupy your house. Ditto for other loans (but kiss your car goodbye when the repo man does his job). In many cases, lenders can ill afford to tell their stockholders about toxic loans, so &#8212; if you avoid undue attention and your loan is too small to &#8220;bother&#8221; with &#8212; the borrower gets the loan for no payments while the lender gets stuck. This point was viewed as radical as little as a year ago, but the idea has been receiving <a href="http://moneywatch.bnet.com/saving-money/blog/family-finance/mortgage-default-what-would-you-tell-the-kids/1550/">plenty of attention from the media</a>, and even <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/35426944">CNBC is on board</a>. </p>
<div id="attachment_411" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/MUT-ShacklesOfDebtTactics.jpg"><img src="http://guymcpherson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/MUT-ShacklesOfDebtTactics-300x199.jpg" alt="" title="MUT ShacklesOfDebtTactics" width="300" height="199" class="size-medium wp-image-411" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Tactics for throwing off the shackles of debt</p></div>
<p>These actions are high risk because they could bring criminal proceedings related to fraud. Probably they won’t. But stranger things have happened, so we issue the following disclaimer:</p>
<p><em>Recognizing that even civil disobedience is illegal, the authors and the host of this web site do not condone any actions that break the law under the jurisdiction where the described activity is taking place.</em></p>
<p>Which, of course, doesn’t mean you shouldn’t do them at your own risk.</p>
<p>What we’re trying to do here is help bring down a house of cards: People feeling forced to pay debts far greater than the real value of the assets that secure them. People seduced into getting into debt needlessly. People paying usurious interest rates and fees because the banks own the politicians. It’s a debtors’ prison without locks and doors, and it’s immoral. Please help us bring an end to it.<br />
________________________</p>
<p>This essay is part of a <a href="http://underminethedebt.wordpress.com/" target="_blank">larger collaboration between the authors</a>. It represents the third month of the <a href="http://thesietch.org/mysietch/keith/2010/01/06/one-action-a-month-to-undermine-the-greenwashing-industry/" target="_blank">Monthly Undermining Tasks</a></p>
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		<title>Where do we go from here?</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/01/where-do-we-go-from-here/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2010/01/where-do-we-go-from-here/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jan 2010 02:05:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guymcpherson.com/?p=368</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some doors are closed. We will no longer observe long-term growth of the industrial economy. In fact, any growth reported by the government or media is suspect at this point, and probably a result of the age-old fudging-the-numbers trick. We have entered the age of contraction. The days of access to the inexpensive fossil fuels [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some doors are closed. We will no longer observe long-term growth of the industrial economy. In fact, any growth reported by the government or media is suspect at this point, and probably a result of the age-old fudging-the-numbers trick. We have entered the age of contraction. The days of access to the inexpensive fossil fuels that fueled American Empire are waning.</p>
<p>But if the government would get out of the way or, better yet, serve as an inspiration and provide resources, we could shape our society to deal effectively with economic contraction. We could focus on the delivery of water, the production of food, and maintenance of public health with a substantially re-localized, and significantly more durable, set of living arrangements. The alternative we are currently pursuing &#8212; a last-ditch attempt to maintain the impossible dream of endless suburbia followed by a rapid trip to the post-industrial Stone Age &#8212; is an unmitigated apocalypse in slow motion. I feel as if I’m watching a cheesy 1970s disaster film, waiting for the director to yell, “Cut!” so we can all go back to our pre-HFCS cheese doodles and soda pop.</p>
<p>Assuming we all jump on board the contraction train, we have several options at our disposable. I’m a fan of one of them, and I’ll present an alternative likely to be more appealing to most readers. These two routes are simply points along a continuum from (1) the omnicidal, destined-for-disaster business as usual and (2) its attendant massive die-off of humans as we enter the Stone Age without advance planning.</p>
<p>Route number one is such a durable outcome we did it for two million years. That’s essentially the entire human experience. We had easy lives, characterized by a few hours of work each week to supply our hunted-and-gathered food. We spent a lot of time communing with the natural world, and creating art that reflected our time with nature. We were a bit too spiritual for my own personal tastes, but that spirituality was rooted in ignorance. Now that we know better than to believe in spirits, the next trip to the Stone Age can be characterized by rational thought, free inquiry, intelligent discussions, and strong communities rooted in place.</p>
<p>Our lives will be short, relatively speaking, but they will be far from the Hobbesian wage-slavery in which we’re currently mired. All aboard the peace train, everybody.</p>
<p>The next stop is agricultural anarchy, in the spirit of Monticello. I know Thomas Jefferson’s model was built on the backs of slaves, and I know about the horrors of patriarchy. But again, we know better this time. The local, organic production of food will once again form the center of commerce, and also our lives. The animals we respect and nurture will provide power. We will honor soil as the life-giving entity it is.</p>
<p>If we pursue the latter route, we’ll need to abandon the cities en masse. We’ll need to develop a crash course in country living. If you think it can’t be done, you haven’t been reading this blog. Believe me: If I can develop the attitude and skills I’ve developed within a year, after spending an entire life as an imperialist educator, just about anybody else can, too. Surely people with fewer than my 49 years can do this, and without the physical pain that results from heaping large doses of physical abuse onto a long-neglected body. Had I known how long I was going to be using these old bones, I’d have taken better care of them, back when I was younger.</p>
<p>There you go, then: Two possibilities for a future with infinite possibilities. Neither involves long-distance travel, but the recent luxury of overseas, overnight is a big part of the problem. Ditto for the summer driving vacation and the long-distance commute to “live” in soulless suburbia.</p>
<p>Yes, we’ll need to work out myriad details. The transition will not be easy. But it will not be lethal to a majority of people in industrialized countries, either. Many other advantages come to mind, in addition to the ones I <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2009/09/when-the-empire-falls/">pointed out a few months ago</a>. For example, we might not have to <a href="http://www.eutimes.net/2009/11/obama-orders-1-million-us-troops-to-prepare-for-civil-war/">prepare for civil war</a>, and we won’t be all atwitter about which <a href="http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2010/01/over-100-debt-price-and-asset-bubbes-ready-to-burst-in-2010-1.html">bubbles are about to burst</a>.</p>
<p>That’s my two cents, undoubtedly overpriced. And you?</p>
<p>___________________</p>
<p>This post was inspired by a <a href="http://guymcpherson.com/2010/01/wanted-two-miracles/#comment-2740">comment from vera</a>.</p>
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		<title>Scale</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2009/09/scale/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2009/09/scale/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2009 16:01:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The many miles and frequent pauses reveal to any sentient animal the sheer lunacy of the living arrangements we've built for ourselves. Within the span of a couple generations, we abandoned a durable, finely textured, life-affirming set of living arrangements characterized by self-sufficient family farms intermixed with small towns that provided commerce, services, and culture. Worse yet, we traded that model for a coarse-scaled arrangement wholly dependent on ready access to cheap fossil fuels. Then we ratcheted up the madness to rely on businesses that use, almost exclusively, a warehouse-on-wheels approach to just-in-time delivery of unnecessary devices designed for rapid obsolescence and disposal.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m driving from Tucson to the <a href="http://blog.ltc.arizona.edu/naturebatslast/2009/08/preparing-for-collapse-at-the.html">mud hut</a>, taking a circuitous route that currently finds me staying in my wife&#8217;s childhood home in western Nebraska. Along with my spouse and dog, I&#8217;m covering 4,300 miles while crisscrossing 11 states and all 4 time zones in the continental U.S. We&#8217;ll circumambulate Kansas, and at one point we drove close enough to spit on the state. But it didn&#8217;t seem worth the time or the saliva.</p>
<p><span id="more-117"></span><br />
We&#8217;re driving slowly and stopping often, primarily because the Obama administration&#8217;s Keynesian approach to saving the industrial economy necessitates throwing money at the highway departments of every state in the country. The attendant &#8220;shovel-ready projects&#8221; are clear examples of the lengths to which industrial humans will go to sustain the unsustainable, maintain the immaterial, and generally restore the irredeemable for a few more months.<br />
The many miles and frequent pauses reveal to any sentient animal the sheer lunacy of the living arrangements we&#8217;ve built for ourselves. Within the span of a couple generations, we abandoned a durable, finely textured, life-affirming set of living arrangements characterized by self-sufficient family farms intermixed with small towns that provided commerce, services, and culture. Worse yet, we traded that model for a coarse-scaled arrangement wholly dependent on ready access to cheap fossil fuels. Then we ratcheted up the madness to rely on businesses that use, almost exclusively, a warehouse-on-wheels approach to just-in-time delivery of unnecessary devices designed for rapid obsolescence and disposal.<br />
Simply ingenious, wouldn&#8217;t you say?<br />
The entire region, formerly abundant with a multitude of edible crops, currently is brimming with a single commodity: #2 corn. It&#8217;s Roundup-ready, at that, just to throw a bucket of insulting acid into the face of reason. Roundup-resistant weeds are popping up throughout the region as we bring Farmageddon to the heartland and eventually to the world. Most of the corn, which is essentially inedible until it is processed (i.e., pummeled with inordinate quantities of fossil fuels), is watered with the last remaining drops of the Ogallala aquifer, brought to the surface with the same finite fluid used to power our trucks and cars. Verdant fields of ethanol dreams are interrupted occasionally by a field of soybeans; without rotations of legumes, the soil would be so depleted of nitrogen by king corn, it wouldn&#8217;t support even the great corn desert. The corn fills our bellies with death-inducing faux sugar. But we willingly trade some of that &#8220;food&#8221; for fuel because the associated dependence on automobiles allows us to burn off the final inches of life-giving topsoil to promote our culture of death in rapid-transit, individualized death-traps. Who could pass up a deal like that?<br />
Obnoxiously ubiquitous cell-phone towers line the edges of the cornfields adjacent to the Eisenhower Interstate Highway System (&#8220;Celebrating 50 Years, 1956-2006&#8243;). Each of these completely unnecessary towers of mortality &#8212; which serve only to duplicate extant infrastructure &#8212; kills 5,000 to 15,000 birds each year. Yet every imperialist has a cell phone, regardless of the death to songbirds. Don&#8217;t even get me started on the col-tan in the cell-phone batteries mined from the Congo, because I&#8217;d rather not think about the brutal lives and tortuous deaths of the Congolese women and children we treat as collateral damage along our imperial path.<br />
Seemingly every tenth cell-phone tower marks a casino, yet another ubiquitous structure we&#8217;d be far better off without. These businesses extract money from the poor as they pursue the something-for-nothing goal upon which our culture has become based during the last few decades.<br />
If it&#8217;s not a casino, it&#8217;s a distribution center for this country&#8217;s rapidly waning commercial sector. We no longer make much of anything in this country, but we move around ton after ton of cheap plastic crap to the Targets and Wal-Marts that have displaced family owned businesses in every town and city in the country while exporting disaster capitalism throughout the world.<br />
Finally, then, we come to the most ludicrous part of the entire endeavor: suburbia, filled with McMansions. This not-quite-country, not-quite-city living arrangement requires people to buy one of everything for every house &#8212; except cars, of which we need at least two &#8212; to live far from work, far from play, and far from the things we &#8220;need&#8221; to buy. Hundreds of acres of shoddily constructed, castle-like symbols of self-indulgence are separated from equally coarse-scaled places we use to grow &#8220;food,&#8221; conduct &#8220;commerce&#8221; in our &#8220;service&#8221; economy, and otherwise live civilized lives. As has often been the case, today&#8217;s symbols of gluttony are tomorrow&#8217;s death traps.<br />
As usual, I&#8217;m quick to point out the silver lining in this otherwise disastrous narrative: Better days lie ahead. How could they not?<br />
In the near future, we&#8217;ll return to a durable set of living arrangements. Since we need about 50 million additional gardeners to support the 300 million people in this nation, and because nearly everybody in the industrialized world would rather push electrons in a cube farm than push a shovel in a garden, I don&#8217;t foresee us voluntarily returning to the agrarian age. Not only are a majority of people unaware of the predicament we face &#8212; thanks to the media, every level of government, and our own self-absorbed preference for the bliss of ignorance &#8212; but there&#8217;s simply no leadership in the industrialized world as we face an inevitable but unprecedented economic contraction. As a result, I suspect we&#8217;ll bypass agricultural pursuits and plunge right back to the post-industrial stone age. Once again, daily life will be characterized by a finely textured, life-affirming, durable set of arrangements characterized by respect for each other and reverence for the land, and accompanied by a solid dose of self-sufficiency.<br />
The point of my circuitous route to the mud hut: a wedding on the in-law side of the family. The newlyweds are twenty-something Army officers, and the event fittingly provided the perfect example of the malevolence needed to maintain civilization. Held in a <a href="http://www.airzoo.org/">venue designed and constructed to celebrate American military prowess</a>, the reception allowed the guests to enjoy flight simulators between bouts of gorging on meat, fat, sugar, and alcohol. Each of us was allowed to &#8220;fly&#8221; a fighter jet and blast the enemy. I was a tad disappointed, though: I didn&#8217;t get to bomb a children&#8217;s hospital in the name of bringing democracy to a poverty-stricken, oil-rich country.<br />
For those readers who would like to impress upon me that I&#8217;m an imperialist, too, or that &#8220;freedom isn&#8217;t free,&#8221; don&#8217;t bother. In a heartbeat, I&#8217;d give up every aspect of the industrial economy, even if it cost me my life, to know western civilization was dead and gone. And for those who believe we&#8217;re really free, take a look around. See the security cameras. Notice the listening devices. Pay attention to the monitoring devices that record and report every transaction you complete. These tyrannies are among the thousands of minor costs we pay for &#8220;freedom&#8221; from terrorists. The larger costs are borne by non-human species and people in non-industrial cultures every minute of every day.<br />
I took a break from the festivities to spend a little time outdoors as darkness was falling. In a few minutes, I was able to observe far more beauty than marked the cultural ceremony or the route along the way (so far): the cry of a red-tailed hawk drew my eye to two hawks flying low over the treetops. Shortly afterward, a brilliant harvest moon scaled the eastern horizon.<br />
Hope springs eternal in, and from, the natural world: There&#8217;s still something worth saving from the ravages of civilization. But is there world enough, and time? And, despite <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSTRE58139L20090902?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=environmentNews">mounting evidence to the contrary</a>, are there enough of us who actually care about saving the living planet?<br />
____________________________<br />
This post is permalinked at <a href="http://energybulletin.net/50076">Energy Bulletin</a>, <a href="http://countercurrents.org/mcpherson100909.htm">Counter Currents</a>, <a href="http://blogs.salon.com/0002007/2009/09/20.html#a2442">how to save the world</a>, <a href="http://downdenial.blogspot.com/2009/09/your-ticket-may-win-you-shetland-pony.html">Floating Down Denial</a>, <a href="http://www.goal1.org/archives/2009/09/11/the-revolution-starts-now/">One Town Square</a>, <a href="http://www.endgame.org.uk/2009/09/scale/">Dismantling Civilisation</a>, <a href="http://lovesalem.blogspot.com/2009/09/scalding-dose-of-reality-noticed.html">LOVESalem</a>, <a href="http://cantate-domino.blogspot.com/2009/09/scale-guy-r.html">The New Beginning</a>, and <a href="mailto:http://islandbreath.blogspot.com/2009/09/driving-through-america.html">Island Breath</a>.</p>
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		<title>Whack!</title>
		<link>http://guymcpherson.com/2009/08/whack/</link>
		<comments>http://guymcpherson.com/2009/08/whack/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Aug 2009 23:45:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guy McPherson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic collapse]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[post-carbon skills]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The next case of $120 oil, assuming we get there before the industrial economy falls into the abyss, will be brutal for an already over-stretched American consumer. Banks are falling like dominoes on a mule cart over the bumpy terrain of declining energy supplies. When will the lights go out?
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Whack! The soil, such as it is, gives way to my mattock.<br />
What if I&#8217;m right? What if the industrial age comes to its overdue close, taking the love of my life with it? What if she&#8217;s stuck in Tucson, unwilling or unable to escape when the taps run dry at the gas stations and, more importantly, in her rental house?</p>
<p><span id="more-116"></span><br />
Whack! Twenty more blows, and I&#8217;ve got a row of soil &#8212; scientists would call it &#8220;unsorted alluvium&#8221; &#8212; loosened and ready for my long-handled shovel. Eight feet wide and six inches deep, it&#8217;s more cobble than soil, with occasional thin layers of gravel, clay, and easy-digging sand.<br />
It&#8217;s got to end some time, even if it&#8217;s a few years off. The next case of $120 oil, assuming we get there before the industrial economy falls into the abyss, will be brutal for an already over-stretched American consumer. Banks are falling like dominoes on a mule cart over the bumpy terrain of declining energy supplies. When will the lights go out? When will I lose all communication with my brother, sister, and parents?<br />
Whack! Fifty more rows give way. I take a break to gulp water and breathe the country air. I hear the cackle of a chicken as she brags about laying an egg. The ducks laugh, at her and me. They always laugh, the perfect audience for my twisted sense of humor.<br />
My dad spent his early years in a house without running water or electricity, and it looks like he&#8217;ll survive long enough to see the circle complete itself. When he was a kid, his mother declared she&#8217;d had enough of the uncivilized life. She was leaving, that very day. She wondered if anybody was going with her. They all went, of course, her husband and their pack of kids. My dad met my mom in college and they dated twice before deciding to get married. They were mere children when they had three children. Fifty-some years later, they&#8217;re still in good shape, as sharp as ever. Life-long educators, they instilled in me the work ethic and curiosity that saved me from the oppression of ending up as poor as they were, when they were raising three youngsters in a backwoods, redneck logging town nearly two hours&#8217; drive from the nearest real grocery store.<br />
Whack! The mattock bounces off a massive rock. I scratch and claw through leather gloves pocked with holes, finally tossing it onto a small pile of cobble I&#8217;ve remembered to create beside the large mounds of soil mixed with gravel and cobble.<br />
I was a year ahead of my sister in school, and we attended the same high schools and then the same college. We&#8217;ve always been close, and our weekend talks on the telephone remind me of the many late-night conversations that led to our similar life paths and offbeat philosophies. During an intramural flag-football game, my brother and I went out of our way to beat up on her college-freshman boyfriend, for no apparent reason except familial protection. Later, she found it funny. At the time, not so much.<br />
Whack! I&#8217;m too old for the empire to fall. My bruised and battered body hasn&#8217;t taken this kind of physical punishment since two-a-day football practices in high school.<br />
I played cornerback behind my brother&#8217;s defensive end every game of my sophomore season in high school. We taunted the opposing quarterback to run the ball our way. He rarely did. On the offensive side of the ball, I still remember the two passes I threw to my brother during his senior season. I never expected to relieve the star quarterback during the regular season, but he hit a rough spot so I played a single series. I called my brother&#8217;s number, of course. And I drilled him between the numbers, only to see him drop the ball. So I called his number again, and this time he made the catch and the first down. We&#8217;re still close, and we share the academic life, albeit in disparate institutions.<br />
Whack! I&#8217;ve developed four rows of calluses on my hands. I can hardly bend my fingers each morning after a pained-wracked night of little sleep.<br />
What if I&#8217;m wrong? It&#8217;s happened a few thousand times before. What if I quit my easy, over-paid job only to see the empire last another decade? I can&#8217;t bear the thought of missing out on daily interactions with students for ten years. And what if we keep killing every species and culture on the planet, and I have to read the news every day for a decade? I can&#8217;t bear that thought, either. What if we keep the industrial machine running long enough to destroy habitat for humans within a generation, as it seems we will? Surely the southwestern desert will be among the most miserable locations to face the demise of our species. What if I continue to see my wife of more than a quarter century only a couple days each month? Is that any way to keep a marriage alive?<br />
Whack! My back aches, as it has for months. My imperialist doctor says I shouldn&#8217;t work so hard. But this is my job now, preparing for our post-carbon future. Or maybe it&#8217;s just my future, sans spouse.<br />
Another couple years would be great, from a personal perspective, but can the living planet handle it? Every day brings us closer to the edge of ecological collapse and runaway greenhouse. Here at the mud hut, we could use the time to figure out the garden and the goats. Not to mention seeing our families another time or two.<br />
Am I that selfish? Am I willing to forgo habitat for all future human beings on the planet just so I can grow some potatoes?<br />
Of course I am. I&#8217;m <em>Homo industrialis</em>, after all. I care about me, here, now. Hell with tomorrow, and all the tomorrows to come. And potatoes are damned good, as any Idahoan knows. I&#8217;m pretty certain the existential angst isn&#8217;t worth living through, anyway, for any thoughtful person. And why should I care about the thoughtless ones?<br />
Whack! My arms and legs burn with every swing of the mattock. A sandhill crane, one of the first to arrive this year, trumpets in the distance. Although biologists don&#8217;t know why they&#8217;ve been arriving earlier every year, I&#8217;m betting they&#8217;re not bringing good news on the climate-change front.<br />
I shouldn&#8217;t have sold our house in the suburbs, much less quit my easy job to prepare. My wife loved that house, and our life. I should have stuck it out with her, keeping my mouth shut and playing field biologist instead of social critic. Then, at least, we could die together. And she&#8217;d have been happy during these last four years. Me, too, at least compared to the emotional rollercoaster I&#8217;ve experienced as a result of the pain I&#8217;ve caused her.<br />
Whack! Sweat saturates my clothing and even my gloves, staining my hands yellow. I can barely see through my sunglasses, the lenses filled with sweat pouring from my forehead. Not that this job requires any more visibility than brains.<br />
I&#8217;m just not cut out for post-carbon living. I&#8217;m a career academic. What ever made me think I could live close to the land? It&#8217;s fine in theory. But in practice it&#8217;s a pain in the &#8230; well, every part of my body, which clearly is not too big to fail. Never mind the paucity of friends in my new community, most notably including my best friend for the last 28 years. I simply have neither the body nor the intellect to thrive here.<br />
Whack! Best I keep whacking away. Thinking too much never did anybody any good. And where&#8217;d this self-indulgent crap come from, anyway? Onward, upward, through the self-induced fog.<br />
Schopenhauer&#8217;s question continues to haunt: How to get through a life not worth living? Make it worth living? That hardly seems an option at this point, given the lose-lose scenario I&#8217;ve managed to create for myself, and her. Take the Hemingway out? That certainly wouldn&#8217;t help her. Not that I&#8217;d notice or, once I&#8217;ve left the planetary station, care.<br />
Whack! Ah, self-indulgence. I&#8217;ll bet there was damned little of it before the age of fossil fools. I can&#8217;t imagine people, tribes, or societies would tolerate the self-absorption rampant in contemporary industrial humans.<br />
A life of service was my answer when I served the empire. It was the answer inspired by the example of my parents, and followed by my siblings. It is the answer of my mentors and colleagues. It was easy to find, and apply, in my ivory-tower life. Whether I find it here, in time, remains to be seen.<br />
Whack! A hundred rows or so, and the garden bed finally is hollowed out, ready for the hardware-cloth &#8220;basket&#8221; that lines the bottom and sides of the bed to protect the future garden from the present pocket gophers.<br />
How will I serve this community? It&#8217;s filled with doomers, many of whom have been growing their own food and organizing their lives around imperial collapse for decades. How do I fit? Or do I?<br />
______________________________________________<br />
The topic and title of this post were provided by Mike, my partner at the <a href="http://blog.ltc.arizona.edu/naturebatslast/2009/08/preparing-for-collapse-at-the.html">mud hut</a>. This post appears at <a href="http://energybulletin.net/49982">Energy Bulletin</a> and <a href="http://carolynbaker.net/site/content/view/1261/1/">Speak Truth to Power.</a></p>
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