Edge of Extinction: Prediction vs. Projection, Exemplified

Further clarification: My prediction of human extinction by 2026, which is based on my interpretation of near-term future temperature rise, does not project into the future based solely upon prior data. Sam Carana sometimes uses projection of extant trends to predict future temperature, often using the exponential function. My prediction is based upon the combination of several contributors to temperature rise, rather than extrapolation from existing data into the future.

Neither projection nor prediction is inherently more accurate. A prediction can be evaluated only upon passage of the date of the prediction.


Thanks to my all-volunteer booking team for seeking additional volunteers in support of my speaking tours. If you would like to host me in your area, please send me a message at guy.r.mcpherson@gmail.com

I’m featured in a video series that airs now and then. Catch all released episodes of the Guy, Fawkes, and Jamen show here.

I’ve received requests for a workshop focused on emotions for people who accept the evidence underlying our near-term demise. Such a workshop is described here. It is available at the homestead I occupy in Belize.

My latest book is available in audio, and can be purchased here. Ms. Ladybug and Mr. Honeybee: A Love Story at the End of Time is intended for ages 11 and up.

Mugs, tote bags, iPhone cases, tee shirts, and other pragmatic goods affiliated with the book are available here